Legislative: historical abstention, push from the left, a relative presidential majority?

by time news

21h20 : Éric Zemmour eliminated in the first round: candidate in the fourth constituency of Var, the founder of Reconquête! gathers only 23.19% of the votes. His lieutenant Guillaume Peltier, who came from the Republicans, was also beaten. The mission promised to be very difficult given the National Rally’s refusal to form an alliance and the voting system: Eric Zemmour’s party should not have a representative in the National Assembly: the time may be long until in the European elections of 2024…

©F.Froger / Z9, for FranceSoir

21h10: “Faced with extremes, we will not give in,” says Elisabeth Borne from the headquarters of LREM – renamed “Renaissance!” “We are the only political force capable of having a majority in the National Assembly”.

Elisabeth Borne, at the headquarters of LREM - Renaissance, June 12, 2022
©F. Froger / Z9, for FranceSoir

20h30 : moved, Jean-Luc Mélenchon takes the floor to welcome the arrival “at the head” of the NUPES alliance which has been organized in its wake. He points to a “beaten and defeated” president, a historical fact in this configuration, and calls on the French to “surge” next Sunday into the polls to counter Emmanuel Macron’s “disastrous” project.

20h27 : The “ni-ni” for the National Gathering in the event of a NUPES-Ensemble duel! in the second round. Between “the destroyers from above and the destroyers from below”, Marine Le Pen invites her voters to abstain. Jordan Bardella, on TF1, had developed the same position, which he presented as personal, with a nuance: he would vote white.

20h20 : Jean-Michel Blanquer, former Minister of National Education, was eliminated in the first round in the fourth constituency of Loiret.

20h : according to early estimates, “Together!” who aspired to embody the presidential “majority” would obtain a majority… not necessarily absolute: between 275 and 310 seats. The left alliance “NUPES” would obtain between 180 and 210 seats. The Republicans, with 40 to 60 deputies, in the process of constituting an auxiliary force for the Macronist bloc? The results look bad for the National Rally, not sure of being able to form a parliamentary group, and a fortiori for the other rights.

19h30 : The “NUPES” has put itself at the center of the game, and finds itself at the center of the issues of the results of this first round. Find Wolf Wagner’s analysis which explains how and why, according to him, “a macronist-lepenist republican front on the march against the left” arose.

See: A Macronist-Lepenist Republican Front marching against the left [1/5]

19 h : Historically low turnout?

Turnout stood at 39.4% in mainland France at 5 p.m. for the legislative elections.

This is the lowest historical level under the Fifth Republic. The Ipsos Institute estimates that the final abstention rate will be 52.8%, a record.

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