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Phillies Surge Continues: Harper leads MLB Home Run Prop Bets for Friday, September 19
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The Philadelphia Phillies have emerged as a force in Major League baseball as the trade deadline, and their momentum is catching the attention of both fans and sports bettors.With a stellar 30-15 record in their last 45 games, and a recent series win against the Los Angeles Dodgers, the Phillies are looking strong heading into Friday’s matchups. A key player driving their success is Bryce Harper, who is currently a top pick for home run prop bets.
Phillies’ Post-Deadline Dominance
Philadelphia’s recent success is undeniable. Their 30-15 run as the trade deadline demonstrates a meaningful shift in performance, and their sixth consecutive series victory – taking two of three games from the Dodgers earlier this week – underscores their current form. This winning streak has solidified their position as one of the league’s top contenders as the regular season winds down.
Harper Heating Up at the Plate
Bryce Harper is a central figure in the Phillies’ offensive firepower. He has launched five home runs this month, bringing his season total to 27.His power is particularly evident against Friday’s opposing pitcher, Arizona Diamondbacks’ Ryne Nelson, against whom Harper boasts a.444 batting average (4-for-9) with a home run.
According to betting markets, harper is listed at +480 to hit a home run on Friday, making him one of the most compelling MLB best HR bets of the day. FanDuel is currently offering the most favorable odds at +480, compared to a consensus line of +380. since the All-Star break, Harper has maintained an impressive .897 OPS with 17 home runs in 57 games. “Harper’s history against Nelson, combined with his recent performance, makes him a strong contender to go yard,” noted one analyst.
Data-Driven Picks: Beyond Harper
While Harper stands out, data-driven insights from SportsLine’s projection model identify other promising home run prop bets for Friday. The model, which simulates each MLB game 10,000 times, has proven remarkably accurate this season, generating a profit of 27.25 units on its individual MLB HR picks and successfully predicting two three-leg parlays with payouts of at least 80-1.
Hear are additional top picks identified by the model:
- Willy Adames,Giants (+375,BetMGM): Despite being hitless in his last four games,Adames’s track record against left-handed pitching – 11 home runs in 43 games – makes him a valuable bet. The model set the line at +276 for Adames to homer.
- Nick Kurtz,Athletics (+320,FanDuel): Playing in his home state of Pennsylvania could provide extra motivation for Kurtz,who has an impressive 1.167 OPS against right-handed pitchers. Left-handed batters have a .762 OPS against Mitch Keller, with 10 home runs allowed.The model set Kurtz’s line at +280 to hit a home run.
Where to Place Your Bets
Several sportsbooks offer MLB home run props for Friday’s games, including fanduel, BetMGM, and others.
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