Morocco’s Citrus Production Set to Surge, But Export Challenges Loom
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Morocco is poised for a significant increase in citrus production for the 2025-2026 agricultural season, with forecasts predicting a harvest of 1.9 million tonnes – a 24% jump from the previous year. despite ongoing climatic challenges, the sector demonstrates robust momentum, fueled by government support and diversifying markets.
Production Increase Offset by Export Concerns
The anticipated surge in production, however, doesn’t automatically translate to increased exports. Persistent water stress and unfavorable weather patterns have hindered the advancement of certain varieties, notably smaller fruits.According to industry sources, these conditions have directly impacted fruit size, resulting in a harvest dominated by calibers 3, 4, and 5 – sizes less desirable in international markets. This presents a significant hurdle for exporters seeking to capitalize on the increased volume.
Cautious Export Projections and Government Intervention
Export projections remain conservative, with estimates capping at 600,000 tonnes for the year. This figure is relatively stable compared to the 642,000 tonnes exported in the previous campaign, which itself represented a 40% increase year-over-year. To bolster the sector and enhance exporter competitiveness, the Moroccan government has implemented a new subsidy of 1,000 dirhams per tonne exported to the European Union, Africa, and the United States – excluding the Nadorcott variety. Simultaneously, a fruit tree protection program continues to expand, now covering nearly 50,000 hectares to mitigate the impact of climatic hazards.
Diversified Markets Provide Stability
Morocco’s export markets remain relatively diversified, mitigating risk and providing logistical advantages. The European Union and the United Kingdom currently account for 35% of Moroccan citrus exports, followed by North America at 30%, Russia at 17%, and sub-Saharan Africa at 12%. Within Europe, the Netherlands absorbs 9% of the volume, France 8%, and the United Kingdom 10%, while Canada and the United States represent 15% and 16% respectively.
Emerging Markets Offer New Opportunities
Beyond established markets,new opportunities are emerging. Japan recently began receiving shipments following a new phytosanitary agreement, and demand is growing in Malaysia, Indonesia, and India.The African market, now representing 13% of exports, is particularly promising for larger fruit calibers.
Optimism Tempered by Realities
The combination of increased production, government support, and market diversification has fostered optimism within the Moroccan citrus industry. The strengthening of relationships with key partners,such as the United kingdom,further reinforces Morocco’s position in the global citrus trade. Though, the industry remains acutely aware of the challenges posed by climatic constraints and the need to effectively market varying fruit sizes. The sector is approaching the new campaign with ambition,but also with a pragmatic understanding of the hurdles ahead.
Why: Morocco is anticipating a 24% increase in citrus production for the 2025-2026 season, reaching 1.9 million tonnes.This surge is driven by government support and diversification of export markets.
Who: The key players are Moroccan citrus producers, the Moroccan government (providing subsidies and protection
