Oregon vs.Oregon State: Ducks Favored But Beavers Could Cover in November 2025 Clash
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The Oregon Ducks will host the Oregon State Beavers on Monday, November 17, 2025, in a matchup slated for a 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time tip-off at Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene, Oregon. The game will be broadcast nationally on FS1. Both teams enter the contest wiht unblemished records,setting the stage for a compelling early-season battle.
Early Season Successes for Both Programs
The Oregon State Beavers, competing in the Pac-12 conference, have begun their 2026 regular season with three consecutive victories. Their recent 66-64 win over North Texas showcased their ability to win close contests, a theme that has defined their early season. The Ducks, also in the Pac-12, are looking to extend to build their perfect record. In their recent victory over South Dakota State, Shelstad led the way with 22 points and 8 assists. Statistically, the Ducks are led by Nate Bittle, who averages 17 points and 10.7 rebounds per game, and TK Simpkins, contributing 14.3 points with a 45.5% shooting percentage. Though, despite their offensive firepower, the Ducks have struggled to cover the spread, posting a 0-3 record against the handicap. Their shooting percentage of 38.4% indicates an area for potential improvement, though they excel at the free-throw line, converting 18 attempts per game.
Beavers Win Close,But Face Statistical Challenges
the Oregon State Beavers have also demonstrated a knack for winning tight games,securing victories against North Texas,UIC,and North Dakota State by margins of two points or less. Josiah Lake II has emerged as a key offensive threat, scoring 22 points against UIC, while Johan Munch and Isaiah Sy provide consistent scoring support. Despite their winning record, the Beavers currently rank 273rd in shooting percentage at 43.0% and average 13.3 turnovers per game – areas that will need addressing as the season progresses. They do, however, boast a strong free-throw shooting percentage of 78.5%.
Statistical Breakdown: Rebounding and free Throws Key
the upcoming game could be decided by a few key statistical categories. While both teams have established winning records, their shooting percentages are relatively low. The Ducks currently shoot 38.4% from the field, compared to the Beavers’ 43.0%. Rebounding is another critical area, with Oregon averaging 42.3 rebounds per game, substantially higher than Oregon State’s 31.7. Free throw shooting could also prove decisive, with the Beavers demonstrating proficiency in this area.
Here’s a quick statistical overview:
- Oregon Ducks Field Goal Percentage: 38.4%
- Oregon State Beavers Field Goal Percentage: 43.0%
- Oregon Ducks Rebounds Per Game: 42.3
- Oregon State Beavers Rebounds Per Game: 31.7
- Oregon Ducks Free Throws Made Per Game: 18.0
- Oregon State Beavers Free Throw Percentage: 78.5%
Betting Trends Favor Oregon, But Handicaps Present a Challenge
Both the Oregon State Beavers and Oregon Ducks have struggled to cover the handicap in their recent games. According to betting trends, Oregon State is 0-3 against the handicap in its last three games, while oregon shares the same record.Both teams are also 1-2 in total points (over/under) in their last three games. This suggests that while both teams are winning, they are not consistently exceeding expectations against the spread.
Prediction: Oregon State +13.5
Despite being a 13.5-point favorite, Oregon’s struggles against the handicap suggest the game may be closer than anticipated.The Ducks’ home-field advantage and rebounding dominance make them the clear favorites,but the Beavers’ ability to win close games and their proficiency at the free-throw line should not be underestimated.A senior analyst stated, “Oregon’s rebounding will be a notable advantage, but Oregon State’s ability to keep games tight could allow them to cover the spread.” Therefore, the prediction is Oregon State +13.5.
