2024-05-24 20:58:07
New Delhi: Election analyst Prashant Kishor is continually within the information for his predictions concerning the outcomes of the Lok Sabha elections. Together with the nation’s large media homes, well-known impartial journalists are additionally asking Prashant Kishor what’s going to occur on June 4. In each interview, he’s claiming that the ruling Bharatiya Janata Get together (BJP) is coming to energy on the heart once more and Narendra Modi goes to turn out to be the Prime Minister for the third time. He says that there isn’t a anger in opposition to the BJP and PM Modi on the bottom, even when there may be some delicate resentment, the BJP doesn’t appear to be struggling a serious loss by way of seats. He says that if the BJP can lose some seats in its stronghold of North-West India, then it could actually acquire some seats within the South-East. On this manner, the BJP can get a victory in 2019 and even larger than that.
BJP opponents disagree with Prashant’s estimates
This has angered the opponents of BJP. Prashant Kishor additionally had a spat with journalist Karan Thapar who was interviewing him for media home The Wire. Karan requested Prashant about his evaluation, how assured is he about his predictions? He mentioned that in Might 2022, Prashant Kishor had talked concerning the Congress’s wipeout within the Himachal Pradesh meeting elections, which turned out to be fully unsuitable, so he’s asking how dependable his predictions might be this time. So allow us to additionally attempt to know the way a lot Prashant Kishor’s predictions and his analytical means might be trusted. For this, allow us to check out his previous predictions and his electoral achievements as a key strategist for varied events…
I can cope with 4 individuals such as you alone… Prashant Kishor will get indignant at Karan Thapar, uproar on social media
Prashant Kishor’s achievements as an election strategist
1. 2014 Indian Lok Sabha election
Get together: Bharatiya Janata Get together(BJP)
Chief: Narendra Modi
Function: Chief strategist for Modi’s marketing campaign
Outcomes: BJP achieved a historic victory by securing 282 out of 543 seats within the Lok Sabha. For the primary time since 1984, a single celebration achieved a majority by itself.
Success Components: Centered on Modi’s picture as a development-oriented chief, utilizing distinctive strategies of campaigning together with ‘Chai pe Charcha’ and ‘3D rallies’.
2. 2015 Bihar Meeting Elections
Get together: Grand alliance of Janata Dal United (JDU), Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) and Congress
Chief: Nitish Kumar
Function: Chief Strategist
Consequence: The Grand Alliance received 178 out of 243 seats.
Success elements: Created a robust narrative in opposition to the BJP. Centered on social justice and Nitish Kumar’s governance file.
3. 2017 Punjab Meeting Election
Get together: Indian Nationwide Congress(INC)
Chief: Amarinder Singh
Function: Chief Strategist
Outcomes: Congress received 77 out of 117 seats.
Success Components: It capitalised on the anti-incumbency wave, highlighted problems with drug abuse and unemployment, and projected Amarinder Singh as a robust chief.
Opinion: Outspoken Dalits and silent Muslims! Is BJP’s boat sinking in UP this time?
4. 2019 Andhra Pradesh Legislative Meeting election
Get together: Yuvajana Sramika Raithu Congress Get together(YSRCP)
Chief: YS Jagan Mohan Reddy
Function: Chief Strategist
Outcomes: YSRCP received 151 out of 175 seats.
Success Components: Centered on Jagan Mohan Reddy’s ‘padayatra’ and guarantees of welfare schemes.
5. 2020 Delhi Meeting Election
Get together: Aam Aadmi Get together (AAP)
Chief: Arvind Kejriwal
Function: Chief Strategist
Outcomes: AAP received 62 out of 70 seats.
Success Components: He emphasised on Kejriwal’s governance, particularly in training and healthcare, and defined to the general public that Aam Aadmi Get together’s focus can be on improvement of Delhi solely because the celebration has no presence wherever else.
6. 2021 West Bengal Meeting election
Get together: All India Trinamool Congress(TMC)
Chief: Mamata Banerjee
Function: Chief Strategist
Outcomes: TMC received 213 out of 294 seats.
Success Components: Mamata Banerjee’s native join, give attention to welfare schemes and countered the aggressive marketing campaign of the BJP. Opposite to the BJP’s declare, Prashant Kishore mentioned bluntly that the celebration is not going to get 100 seats and in reality the BJP was lowered to 77 seats. Nonetheless, this was the largest victory ever for the BJP in West Bengal.
7. 2015 Delhi Meeting Election
Get together: Aam Aadmi Get together (AAP)
Chief: Arvind Kejriwal
Function: Chief Strategist
Outcomes: AAP received 67 out of 70 seats.
Success Components: The main focus was on native points, Kejriwal’s clear picture and guarantees of governance. Nonetheless, Prashant Kishor’s involvement on this election was restricted; the AAP largely credited its inside crew for the bumper victory.
Opinion: After we went out to go looking, Modi wave was nowhere to be seen, what are individuals saying concerning the elections?
Prashant Kishor has additionally confronted some failures as an election strategist.
1. 2017 Uttar Pradesh Meeting election
Get together: Alliance of Congress and Samajwadi Get together(SP)
Chief: Rahul Gandhi and Akhilesh Yadav
Function: Chief Strategist
Outcomes: The alliance received solely 54 out of 403 seats, with the BJP profitable a landslide victory.
Challenges: Failure to successfully counter the BJP narrative, inside conflicts throughout the alliance and incapability to attach with the broader voter base.
2. 2017 Uttarakhand Meeting Election
Get together: Indian Nationwide Congress(INC)
Chief: Harish Rawat
Function: Chief Strategist
Outcomes: The Congress received solely 11 out of 70 seats, whereas the BJP received 57 seats.
Challenges: Sturdy anti-incumbency wave in opposition to the ruling Congress authorities and efficient marketing campaign methods by the BJP.
3. 2022 Uttar Pradesh Meeting elections
Get together: Samajwadi Get together(SP)
Chief: Akhilesh Yadav
Function: Political strategist
Outcomes: BJP fashioned the federal government by profitable 312 seats, however SP’s efficiency improved and it received 111 seats. Within the 2017 elections, SP had acquired solely 47 seats.
Challenges: The election slogan for SP was ‘Kaam Hello Bolta Hai’, but it surely didn’t entice the individuals of Uttar Pradesh. SP couldn’t stand earlier than the very robust group of BJP within the state and the slogan of Hindutva and nationalism.