2024-06-09 18:56:27
Political scientist Hrant Melik-Shahnazaryan writes: “The leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan are delaying the negotiation course of by tacit settlement, one hoping that point will convey new alternatives to his nation and himself, the opposite with the easy intention of suspending disagreeable developments. Pashinyan and Aliyev are allies on this matter.
The Artsakh drawback, in addition to the Armenian-Azerbaijani relations, are way more complete and significant than the slim private pursuits of Pashinyan and Aliyev. This can be a geopolitical drawback, throughout the framework of which Russia, Turkey, Iran, the USA and different facilities pursue important objectives.
The regional pursuits of the geopolitical facilities are identified and are very brazenly pursued by them. Naturally, all of the developments which are happening within the South Caucasus at this time and which ought to predetermine the way forward for our area are because of these applications and the effectiveness of the actions of the powers behind them.
The West is doing the whole lot to push Russia out of the South Caucasus. As a option to clear up this drawback, they see making the Russian army presence within the area meaningless and old-fashioned via the settlement of the Armenian-Azerbaijani and Armenian-Turkish conflicts.
Russia, for its half, is struggling not solely to revive and improve its affect not solely in our area, but additionally in your complete post-Soviet area. Nonetheless, in that battle, the Russian authorities set sure priorities on the fronts of geopolitical competitors, giving precedence to not the South Caucasus, however to Ukraine.
The following dimension of the confrontation between Russia and the West within the South Caucasus is the area’s communication capabilities and infrastructure. And that is precisely the sector the place Turkey has a suggestion to each Russia and the West. The Armenian-Azerbaijani negotiation course of additionally is determined by the result of the geopolitical competitors within the matter of communications.
The Armenian-Azerbaijani negotiation course of and particularly the signing of the peace treaty might be decided not by the efforts of Aliyev and Pashinyan, however by the brand new stability of forces and influences fashioned because of geopolitical competitors. Till then, the top of the competitors, Armenia and Azerbaijan will proceed to be a instrument within the arms of larger powers.”
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