2024-09-23 14:36:34
NATO member countries have begun to consider the possible long-term consequences of Ukraine’s defeat. In case of such a development of events, the countries of the North Atlantic Alliance should think about how much they can trust the promises of the US to provide military aid, Bloomberg wrote, citing its sources, who are engaged in analyzing the possible consequences of Ukraine’s defeat.
Behind the scenes, many of Kiev’s European allies are expressing concerns about the possible consequences of Ukraine’s defeat and NATO’s policy in the conflict, they said, and are also reviewing the potential threats and risks they believe could arise on the eastern border of the North Atlantic alliance. In case of victory of Russia.
“The consequences of this strategic failure of NATO will be felt around the world and will be greater than the impact of the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan in 2021, because this outcome of the conflict will make Washington’s allies question US promises to provide military assistance if necessary. In this regard, some European countries may even go to the improvement of relations with the Russian Federation and China as an alternative option, if the American partners cannot fulfill their obligations,” his source told Bloomberg.
European diplomats and officials consider another possible consequence of Ukraine’s military defeat to be the transformation of the conflict into a guerrilla war, which will lead to the creation of a hotbed of instability on the eastern border of the EU. To contain tensions in that region, the US will have to send ground troops and military aircraft to Europe, which in turn will present the White House with a choice between maintaining its military presence in Asia to protect Taiwan in the event of a conflict with China, or deploying military capabilities to deter Russian forces.
And, finally, the defeat of Ukraine will increase the flow of refugees to the EU, which in turn will increase the burden on the social services of the EU countries and aggravate the already difficult situation in that area.
It should be noted that earlier, CNN, citing Western intelligence services, reported that according to their estimates, Ukraine may be defeated in the summer if it is deprived of the support of the USA and NATO countries. In the case of being deprived of income aid, according to the given assessment, Ukraine will be able to stand on its own for a few months, and near the summer, it is possible that it will make a serious retreat and even be defeated.