Now he also confirms it Fabrizio Pregliasco, we have reached a new plateau phase and soon we will reach the peak of the so-called “fourth wave” of Sars-Cov-2: the virologist of the University of Milan, however, raises the alarm for next autumn, when it could occur a new rise in the curve.
Prediction
Speaking to Timeline, broadcast on Sky TG24, Pregliasco commented on the current situation: “The curve, although growing, does not have that verticality of the beginning and makes us think that we have reached a plateau of this hit of the tail of the virus and hopefully within two weeks we will be at the peak of this wave“. And for the next few months? Despite the vaccinations and the imposition of the green pass, the virologist does not seem optimistic for the future, so much so that he says:”For the autumn, I fear, we must expect a further increase due to favorable weather conditions, the reopening of schools which will be an element of risk and the consequences of the post-holidays.“.
To predict the achievement of peak, in addition to the professor of Epidemiology at the University of Milan Carlo La Vecchia, also the director of the Clinic of Infectious Diseases of San Martino Matteo Bassetti, who in recent days stated: “Reasonably, it is conceivable that this wave of infections and not hospitalizations will reach its peak within a week, for Ferragosto we could be at its peak: this means that after Ferragosto we will begin to see the descent“.
To try to restore calm among the Italians, continuously subjected to the daily updating of data concerning the health situation of the country, was Professor Alberto Zangrillo, who asked to suspend the daily release of the new Sars-CoV-2 positives. Although we are in what has been defined as the “fourth wave”, the numbers are not comparable to the previous situations. Zangrillo, like Bassetti, suggested recounting and revising the numbers of current hospitalizations.
The infections in August
Continuing the interview, Fabrizio Pregliasco, like Bassetti, compared the current state of Italy with what has happened in other countries. “The ascent of the contagion curve in August it was known in parallel to what happened in Israel and England, the countries that were able to reopen earlier, or wanted to open earlier such as Spain and Portugal“said the virologist.”We have to manage our treasure, after all the epidemiological picture of Italy is much better than others“. According to Pregliasco, it is essential to trace and identify the outbreaks. Attention, furthermore, to contacts:”There have been occasions like the celebrations of the Europeans, the effects of which we have already seen“.
Green pass in the canteens?
The discussion then moved on to the age-old question of green certification. Use it also in canteens? According to Pregliasco it is not discrimination, even if introducing the pass obligation would effectively prevent those who do not have one from entering the premises. “Being all vaccinated in a closed place objectively increases safety, we will see the practicability. The decision that will be taken for company canteens will be political“said the virologist.”The green pass is also useful in the context of the canteen, I don’t see an aspect of it discrimination. I am of the opinion that vaccination should be compulsory, but this is a political choice that must be modulated and we will see what politics will come to decide in terms of balance. This is an element of reducing the likelihood of contagion“.
Pregliasco in fact concluded: “We are seeing a situation of more challenging cases increasing. Still nothing thanks to vaccination, but for example in Spallanzani’s intensive care there are only unvaccinated“.