2024-04-17 16:26:16
New Delhi: Today the weather was pleasant in Delhi NCR. According to the Meteorological Department, there may be rain not only in Delhi NCR but also in some cities of Uttar Pradesh in the coming two days. Along with rain, strong winds are also expected. Amidst all this, the Meteorological Department is also making predictions regarding monsoon. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) said in its forecast on Monday that there is a possibility of more than normal rainfall in the entire country during the monsoon this year. But the department has said that Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, parts of northern and northeastern states are likely to receive below normal rainfall. IMD Director General (DG) Mrityunjay Mohapatra said that the entire country will be affected under the southwest monsoon from June 1. Monsoon seasonal rainfall between September 30 and 30 is likely to be 106 percent of the long period average (LPA).
More rain expected in these states
The Meteorological Department has predicted good rainfall in monsoon this year. Along with this, we have also told about those 20 states where there will be heavy rain this monsoon. This year Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Punjab, Chandigarh, Haryana, Delhi, Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Sikkim, Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh, Puducherry, Andaman Nicobar Islands, Lakshadweep, Dadra and Nagar Haveli, Daman-Diu will see heavy rain.
There will be less rain in these states
Mahapatra said that the IMD considers the impact of El Nino, La Nino, Indian Ocean dipole conditions and snow cover conditions in the Northern Hemisphere in its forecast and all these conditions are favorable for a good monsoon in India this time. He said that North There is a strong possibility of above normal rainfall in most parts of the country except some parts of West, East and Northeast India. But the IMD chief said that there is a possibility of below normal rainfall in Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal and Uttarakhand. Has been. According to him, similarly, there is a possibility of below normal rainfall in the north-eastern states – Assam, Meghalaya, Manipur, Tripura, Nagaland and the surrounding areas of Arunachal Pradesh. Along with this, less than normal rainfall is also expected in the eastern states – Odisha, Chhattisgarh and some parts of Jharkhand and the Ganga plains in West Bengal.
Mohapatra said that based on rainfall data from 1971 to 2020, a new long-term average has been introduced in recent years, under which the entire country receives an average of 87 cm rainfall between June 1 and September 30. He said that if the seasonal rainfall is between 96 percent to 104 percent of the long period average then it is considered normal. 106 percent of the long period average rainfall falls in the category of above normal and if the rainfall is 105 percent to 110 percent of the long period average. If it is between 1000 and 2000 then it is considered more than normal.
Ram temple was a political weapon for the opposition, which has now gone out of hand… PM Modi narrated this story
According to the Meteorological Department, if the rainfall is between 90-96 percent of the LPA, then it is considered below normal. According to the IMD chief, at present moderate conditions of El Nino are prevailing over the equatorial Pacific region and the monsoon season is expected to start in the early stages. El Nino conditions are likely to further weaken into neutral El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions during this period and subsequently La Nina conditions are likely to develop in August-September. He said that when El Nino conditions occur Which has a negative impact on rainfall in most years.
Weather Update: Rain is yet to come in Delhi-NCR, Meteorological Department gave update
From 1951 to 2023, there were 22 years when La Nino conditions prevailed and most of these years saw normal or above normal rainfall under the southwest monsoon. According to Mohapatra, between 1951 to 2023, there were nine years when La Nino conditions prevailed. Nino was going and La Nino was coming, as is the case this year. He said that out of these nine years, during two years the monsoon rainfall was above normal and during five years there was excessive rainfall and during the other two years the rainfall was almost normal.
There will be more rain from August to September
Neutral Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions are currently prevailing over the Indian Ocean and positive IOD conditions are likely to develop during the latter half of the southwest monsoon season which is good for the monsoon. Mohapatra, in response to a question, said that these Due to the conditions, there is a possibility of more rainfall in August-September compared to the beginning of the monsoon. The IMD chief said that during the last three months (January to March 2024), there was less snowfall in the Northern Hemisphere, especially Europe and Asia. He said the snow cover area in the Northern Hemisphere and Eurasia was below normal and below normal snowfall is favorable for rainfall in India during June to September.