2024-10-25 18:55:00
Western military leaders fear that fighting in Ukraine could escalate into a global war after North Korean troops arrive in Russia. Pyongyang’s dispatch of up to four brigades, totaling 12,000 troops, marks a significant escalation in the conflict. The deployment of troops on European soil by the regime Kim Jong Un in support of Russia Vladimir Putin It also reveals the consolidation of an anti-Western axis, “willing to exchange lives and money” to destabilize “the very foundations of the rules-based international system”, underlines a military source cited by the newspaper. The timeswhich refers to a “deadly quartet” consisting of Iran, North Korea, Russia and China.
If North Korean troops headed to the front to fight Ukraine, a third country would be on the ground for the first time since the invasion began in February 2022. “It’s kind of an escalation and it shows us a very important thing. “International conflicts are approaching very quickly,” said the German Defense Minister, Boris Pistorioduring a visit to London this week.
Ukrainian military intelligence estimates that the first group of 2,600 infantry soldiers could be sent to fight the Ukrainian counter-invasion in the Kursk border region as early as next week. Kiev is also contemplating the possibility of Moscow making a distinction between North Koreans fighting in Russia to expel Ukrainians and those fighting in Ukraine.
The question South Korea and other Western countries are now asking is: What will Russia provide North Korea in return? There are fears that Moscow could reward Pyongyang with sophisticated weapons technologies that could enhance its nuclear and missile programs aimed at the South. In this sense, the South Korean president, Yoon Suk YeolHe vowed that he “will not stand idly by” in the face of the deployment, which he described as a “provocation that threatens global security beyond the Korean Peninsula and Europe.”
South Korea is considering sending offensive weapons to Ukraine, breaking from a long-standing policy of denying lethal weapons to countries involved in active conflicts. Although Kiev downplays the effectiveness of North Korean troops on the battlefield – they lack combat experience and are unfamiliar with the terrain – South Korean intelligence has specified that the units deployed are special forces. According to Seoul, these are part of North Korea’s XI Corps, the spearhead of the 200,000-strong, 18-brigade North Korean army, well fed, well trained, heavily indoctrinated and equipped for infiltration operations.
Putin knows that NATO is unlikely to respond by sending its troops to fight in Ukraine. The British government of Keir Starmer has not yet managed to convince the Administration Joe Biden of the need to allow Ukraine to launch Storm Shadow missiles inside Russian territory.
With a new president in the White House at the end of January, Putin’s slow but steady progress in the Donbass region could amount to a perceived victory for Russia. And this could have consequences. A China emboldened by the West’s failure to defend Ukraine and with the United States mired in wars in the Middle East could seize the opportunity to invade Taiwan.
«My opinion is that, unlike what happened after the Cuban missile crisis more than sixty years ago, Taiwan presents the real threat of a direct superpower against superpower confrontation, with no intermediaries involved and with the threat of nuclear war ever present “, warned the British historian Andrea Roberts. With Washington focusing its attention on the Indo-Pacific, Israel, which has received billions of dollars in military support from the Americans, may be more vulnerable to attacks from Iran and its proxies. Iran, which has already supplied the Russians with ballistic missiles and drones, could decide to collaborate even more with Russia.
Matthew Savilldirector of Military Sciences of think tank The Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), said that the outbreak of a third world war could be foreseen, but that “we are still some way from it”. Savill does not believe the Axis has a “secret, evil plan” to confront the West, but believes they are working in parallel towards the same goal: to destabilize the West. “If you act like you’re the world’s policeman and the problems pile up, they connect. Now [Occidente] “You have to make serious decisions about priorities.”
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