Austrian Grand Prix 2024: F1 Writers’ Predictions & What to Watch

by liam.oconnor - Sports Editor

Collision Course: Verstappen, McLaren, and Antonelli Headline Austrian Grand prix Preview

The 2025 Formula 1 season has reached a critical juncture as the series heads to Austria, where McLaren’s early-season momentum faces a stern test and championship contenders navigate a treacherous track record of collisions and controversy.

The Austrian Grand Prix, held at the Red Bull Ring, consistently delivers drama, and this year promises no diffrent. With Max Verstappen walking a tightrope regarding a potential race ban, McLaren reeling from a disappointing Canadian Grand Prix, and rising star Andrea Kimi Antonelli continuing to impress, the Styrian foothills are set for a captivating weekend of racing.

A History of Havoc at the Red bull Ring

The Red Bull Ring has earned a reputation for on-track incidents,a fact not lost on those familiar with Formula 1’s history. As one analyst pointed out, “Everything is against you here in Austria.” From collisions between teammates to clashes with rivals, the circuit seems to attract controversy.

Recent history is replete with examples. Last season, Verstappen accrued penalty points for a late-race collision with Lando Norris, a scenario reminiscent of a 2019 incident involving Verstappen and Charles Leclerc. Prior to that, in 2016, Mercedes drivers Nico Rosberg and Lewis Hamilton collided, continuing a long-standing tradition that dates back to 1999 when David Coulthard collided with Mika Hakkinen on the first lap. Even seemingly innocuous events can turn sour; the circuit is the only venue where a driver has crashed after winning the race.

Did You Know? The Red Bull Ring has seen an average of 1.5 safety car deployments per race in the last five years, significantly higher than the F1 average.

Verstappen’s Tightrope Walk

Adding to the tension, Max Verstappen is perilously close to a one-race ban, having accumulated 11 penalty points over the past 12 months. His situation underscores the fine line between aggressive racing and reckless driving, a line that has often been blurred at the Red Bull Ring. The pressure is on the reigning champion to maintain control, both of his car and his temper.

Penalty Point Tracker: Verstappen needs to avoid accruing one more penalty point to avoid a race ban. Click to see the penalty point breakdown for all drivers.

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Can McLaren Recorrect its course?

McLaren’s early dominance has been challenged, notably after a difficult weekend in Montreal where drivers Lando Norris and Oscar piastri struggled for pace and where involved in a collision that cost the team valuable points. The team’s performance in Canada coincided with the implementation of a new technical directive aimed at curbing flexible front wings, leading to speculation that the rule change may have impacted their advantage.

“If the squad is off the pace around Austria’s red Bull Ring, which is a wildly different track to Montreal’s Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, it could blow the drivers’ championship race wide open,” noted a senior racing correspondent. The austrian Grand Prix will be a crucial test of McLaren’s ability to adapt and regain its competitive edge, with rivals poised to capitalize on any sign of weakness.

Antonelli’s Ascent Continues

While established stars battle for supremacy, a new name is rapidly gaining attention: andrea Kimi Antonelli. The young driver has impressed with consistent performances, including a sprint pole in Miami and a podium finish in Montreal. Despite setbacks in Emilia Romagna and Monaco, Antonelli has demonstrated remarkable resilience.

“He has shown resilience beyond his years to get back on track so quickly,” one observer commented. Another strong showing in Austria could solidify Antonelli’s position as a frontrunner and a driver to watch for the remainder of the season.

Antonelli’s Performance: Click to see a comparison of Antonelli’s performance metrics against other young drivers in their debut seasons.

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The Allure of the Red Bull Ring

Beyond the on-track drama, the Red Bull Ring itself is a draw for drivers and fans alike. As one motorsport writer enthused, the venue is “one of the finer motor racing venues in Europe.” While it lacks some of the more challenging features of the original Osterreichring, it still provides opportunities for overtaking, particularly into Turns 3 and 4, and allows for varied racing lines. The circuit’s stunning backdrop of the Styrian Alps and spacious press room further enhance the experience.

The Austrian grand Prix promises a thrilling spectacle, a test of skill, strategy, and perhaps, a little bit of luck. With championship implications looming large and a history of unpredictable events, the Red Bull Ring is poised to deliver another unforgettable weekend of formula 1 action.

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