El Instituto Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología (Inameh) confirmed that the El Niño meteorological phenomenon has been active across Venezuela since last June, bringing rising temperatures and reduced rainfall.
Inameh Confirms El Niño Presence and Tracks Climate Pressures
Meteorological authorities in Venezuela have formally established that the El Niño phenomenon took hold across the national territory following an official warning issued last June. Reidy Zambrano, president of the Instituto Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología (Inameh), detailed the agency’s ongoing tracking during an appearance on a digital podcast.
The National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (Inameh), under the direction of Reidy Zambrano, confirmed the formal presence of the “El Niño” climate phenomenon in Venezuelan geography following the notice issued last June. Caracas, Sep 09. AVN.- The president of the National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (Inameh), Reidy Zambrano, confirmed that the El Niño meteorological phenomenon has been active in Venezuela since last June and detailed its characteristics and preventive measures.
During his intervention in the news space of Laiguana.tv and in the podcast Tenemos que Hablar, Zambrano specified that the organization maintains systematic monitoring of the alteration of climate patterns, characterized by a gradual increase in thermal sensation and a direct reduction in rainfall volumes. Given these operational variations in the atmosphere, the scientific institution has articulated intersectoral work spaces with ministerial portfolios and government agencies to design response protocols adjusted to territorial needs. The head of the organization explained that the manifestation of this oceanic-atmospheric event responds to a gradual process whose effects on local meteorological conditions usually consolidate three months after the first alert notice.
The agency’s technical personnel are evaluating how oceanic and atmospheric shifts alter local weather patterns. According to institutional briefings, the observable consequences of the event typically consolidate three months after the initial warning.
Reidy Zambrano, President of Inameh, stated that starting in June an El Niño warning was issued, and that the institute had very meticulously studied its evolution and its impact on variables—principally temperature and precipitation—noting that temperatures progressively increase while precipitation decreases in a very specific manner.
Further detailing the atmospheric metrics, Zambrano noted the specific variables under observation by institute specialists. That close monitoring involves measuring how regional heat indexes rise while precipitation volumes drop across targeted zones. Likewise, institute authorities coordinated inter-institutional meetings with different levels of government and ministries to address the needs of the population, as well as for the execution of preventive measures against climate alterations.
Global Climate Emergency Factors and Historical Temperature Records
Beyond immediate national forecasts, institutional leadership placed the current local event within a wider planetary framework. Zambrano characterized current shifts as an escalation past traditional climate change into an active phase of “climate emergency”.
Reidy Zambrano, President of Inameh, stated that since the 1980s every decade has been warmer, and that the last decade was the warmest.
The president of Inameh highlighted that since mid-2023, when the previous El Niño phenomenon was recorded, historical heat records have been broken month by month. Among the triggers for these anomalies, the Inameh authority pointed to the excessive consumption of fossil fuels and the progressive emission of carbon dioxide (CO₂) into the atmosphere.
International Projections and Immediate Weather Operations
The National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (Inameh) confirms the presence of the El Niño phenomenon, forecasting a sustained rise in temperatures across the national territory between September and November. Based on data from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), the technical entity indicates that there is nearly a 100% probability that the conditions of this event will extend until February 2027. Furthermore, projections suggest it could become a large-scale episode, with the possibility of being among the most severe documented globally since 1950. For Venezuela, this scenario implies a deficit in usual precipitation. Given this forecast, the WMO advises keeping alert and risk management protocols active in the agencies in charge of the water network to protect vulnerable populations.
On the ground, immediate meteorological operations address separate active systems. Regarding short-term weather behavior, Inameh’s daily report reports the advance of tropical wave number 45 through the center-western region of the country. This system is coupled with the Intertropical Convergence Zone, a combination reinforced by a trough in the upper troposphere and the effects of local topography. This atmospheric interaction promotes abundant cloud cover, scattered rains, electrical activity, and eventual wind gusts in various regions of the country, including:
- Central Zone and Capital: Caracas, Miranda, La Guaira, Aragua, and Carabobo.
- East and Plains: Delta Amacuro, north of Monagas, Sucre, Anzoátegui, Guárico, Cojedes, Apure, Barinas, and Portuguesa.
- West: Yaracuy, Lara, and the Lake Maracaibo basin.
For Greater Caracas, an increase in cloudiness is expected starting at noon, accompanied by average winds of 20 km/h. A minimum temperature in the capital region is estimated according to the continuous monitoring that Inameh maintains to directly evaluate the impact of these alterations on the main atmospheric variables.
In response to these multi-layered weather threats, Inameh authorities have initiated inter-institutional coordination meetings with various levels of government. These sessions aim to adjust public infrastructure needs, prepare preventative protocols, and safeguard vulnerable communities against ongoing meteorological disruptions.
