2024-10-11 21:43:00
Five reasons why Zelensky‘s plan is a no-win game
Ukraine’s eternal dance of death towards Russia, a waltz that no one asked for but which we are all forced to watch and which our leaders continue to carry out, because war is a profitable business for multinational armies and it follows a project that been there for a long time. of the West towards Russia. Theme. unexpectedly, Fox News published an article titled “Five reasons Zelensky’s victory plan for Ukraine is not a winning game,” wrote Rebecca Koffler. Who is Koffler? American military intelligence analyst specializing in Russia and Vladimir Putin. He’s not exactly a Kremlin supporter, but he’s not one to be swayed by Kiev’s fairy tales either.
1. Victory without definition
Let’s start with the first point, the lack of a realistic definition of Zelensky’s “victory”. It demands more weapons, more international support, more of everything, but without a clear strategy. It’s like trying to cook a cake without having the recipe. NATO membership? And the dream that ignited the conflict, the forbidden dream that helped unleash the chaos. Zelensky continues to repeat it like a mantra, ignoring the fact that this ambition, however legitimate it may be, cannot be achieved in the current context.
Koffler points out that Zelensky’s plan is nothing more than wishful thinking. Without a concrete strategy, without achievable goals, asking for more weapons is like trying to put out a fire by throwing gasoline. One can sympathize with Ukraine’s aspirations, of course, but realism must prevail over illusion. Continuing on this path is like chasing a rainbow hoping to find the pot of gold.
2. Ignoring the Reality on the Ground
Let’s move on to the second point: Zelensky seems to live in a parallel reality, a kind of geopolitical Matrix. Russia gradually but harmlessly advances on the battlefield. If Pokrovsk, a vital hub connecting seven roads and railways, falls, the Donetsk front could collapse like a house of cards. Meanwhile, half of Ukraine’s energy infrastructure has been destroyed, and it won’t be winter yet.
To change this situation would require resources and capabilities that Ukraine does not have. Koffler emphasizes the difference between the two countries’ combat capabilities: a deadly combination of differences in weapons, troops, defense economics and the production capacity of the military-industrial complex. It’s like sending a featherweight boxer against a heavyweight champion. The result is predictable, but Zelensky continues to urge his people to oppose them, promising victory.
3. Military Superiority of Russia
The third point, not only is Russia bigger; It is also better equipped. Even the United States, in its infinite ego, recognizes Russia as an “almost equal competitor”. What if Moscow joined forces with China, North Korea and Iran? It would be like facing an All-Star team with a lineup of amateurs. The US military itself admits that it does not have the capabilities or capacity to win such a war.
This is not a minor detail. It means that the West should think twice before further fueling a conflict that could break out. But Washington seems to like playing with fire, perhaps hoping someone else gets burned instead.
4. Human Resources: the Decisive Factor
The fourth reason relates to human resources, a fundamental factor that is often overlooked. The average age of Ukrainian soldiers is between 43 and 45 years. Not exactly young men in their jobs. In contrast, Russia has increased its forces by 15 percent since the start of the war. It’s like running a marathon with a worn leg and your opponent fresh and rested.
This demographic imbalance has direct consequences on the battlefield. While Ukraine struggles to recruit new soldiers, Russia has far more human resources. And let’s not forget that the Russian population has historically been resilient in the face of adversity. Do you think a sanction or some moral speech can change that?
5. Defense Economics: a zero-sum game
Finally, the fifth point concerns the defense economy. Ukraine is in a desperate financial situation. According to the International Monetary Fund, if the conflict continues until the end of 2024, Ukraine’s public debt could reach 140% of GDP. Total dependence on external aid, mainly from the United States and the European Union. But how long will these countries be willing to write blank cheques?
In contrast, Russia increased defense spending to 7.5% of GDP. They redesigned civilian production into military factories, which worked 24/7.
An absurdly avoidable conflict
It’s hard to argue with Koffler’s logic. This conflict is not only a failed attempt to “strategically defeat Russia”, but also an opportunity for some people to make money and consolidate their power. The United States, in particular, seems to be playing a chess game in which each soldier’s sacrifice strengthens their position. They sell weapons, they pressure allies, they keep the weapons industry going. And who pays the price? Ukraine, of course.
Perhaps it is time to recognize that the situation is absurd. As the former President of the United States Trump suggested, this war could be avoided. But ego, national pride and economic interests prevailed for a reason. Continuing on this path only means accumulating further losses on both sides.
Ultimately, apart from independence for the Russian-majority regions and a new Cold War, there will be no winners in this endless war. It’s just a growing tally of lost lives, destroyed economies and lost opportunities. It is time for the leaders in question to sit at the negotiating table with a real desire for peace, instead of fostering a conflict that only concerns a narrow minority.
Appeal for cause
As the world looks at us, often engulfed in crisis or other political scandals, we cannot ignore the real suffering that this conflict is causing millions of people. Families separated, cities destroyed, an entire generation growing up knowing nothing but war.
Fire rhetoric and empty promises will do no good if the realities on the ground are not addressed. There is a need for a paradigm shift, a real desire to find workable solutions. This requires political courage, which seems to be in short supply at the moment.
Perhaps we should all stop for a moment and ask ourselves: who really benefits from this war?
History has taught us that endless wars bring only destruction and bitterness. We hope this lesson is not ignored again. Because, at the end of the day, peace is not only a noble ideal, but an urgent necessity for the common good. The only good most of us can aspire to. The war could have been avoided but it has been building for a long time, and the story is followed by photographs of yesterday’s memories, neglecting the day before yesterday.
From the war in Syria, Libya, the war in Serbia, the war in Chechnya, the conflict in Georgia, the attempted coup in Russia with fake opposition, the expansion of NATO, the refusal to integrate Russia into the EU, the North Stream and to follow… yes, the Fox News journalist even says: at the base of everything there is an appeal to reason.
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