German Chancellor: 80% of Syrian Refugees in Germany Could Return Home in 3 Years

by Ahmed Ibrahim World Editor

Berlin – German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has called on Syrian refugees living in Germany to return home and contribute to the rebuilding of their war-torn country, suggesting that up to 80% could potentially return within the next three years. The statement, made during a joint press conference with the interim Syrian President Ahmed es-Saraa on Monday, signals a shift in tone from Berlin regarding the long-term status of Syrian nationals who sought refuge in Germany during the decade-long civil war. The prospect of large-scale returns is tied to the ongoing stabilization efforts in Syria and a willingness from the Assad government to facilitate the process.

Merz emphasized that many Syrian citizens express a desire to participate in the reconstruction of their homeland and to live in safety, freedom, and dignity. He affirmed Germany’s commitment to providing assistance to those who choose to return, acknowledging the immense task of rebuilding infrastructure and communities shattered by years of conflict. “They will play an critical role in Syria after years of the destruction of businesses, schools, kindergartens and hospitals,” Merz stated during the press conference. This commitment comes as Germany grapples with its own domestic challenges, including housing shortages and strains on social services, and as conservative voices increasingly call for a reduction in the number of asylum seekers.

A Phased Approach to Return

Germany’s plan for facilitating returns isn’t a blanket call for immediate departure. Merz indicated that the initial focus would be on individuals who have committed crimes in Germany. He stated he requested that President es-Saraa prioritize the acceptance of those who no longer have valid residency permits in Germany. “There is a smaller group of Syrian criminals, but this is a group that causes problems for us, and whom we would now primarily like to send back,” Merz added. This approach reflects growing concerns within Germany about the involvement of some Syrian nationals in criminal activity, a topic recently highlighted by reports in German media. Die Welt reported in December 2025 that Syrian and Afghan migrants were disproportionately represented in violent and sexual offenses committed in Germany.

Still, Merz also stressed that those Syrian nationals who have successfully integrated into German society and wish to remain will be allowed to do so. This acknowledges the contributions of many Syrian refugees to the German economy and culture, and the practical difficulties of forcing integration into a country where they have established new lives. According to a report by the German Federal Statistical Office, migrants with a migration background make up 26% of the German workforce, highlighting their importance to the country’s economy.

“Commuter Model” and Reconstruction Efforts

President es-Saraa responded positively to Merz’s proposals, stating that Syria would never forget Germany’s openness to refugees during the civil war. He indicated that both countries are working to restore a partnership, and outlined a potential “commuter model” that would allow Syrians to participate in the rebuilding of their country while maintaining their lives in Germany. This model, still in its early stages of development, would require significant logistical and legal coordination between the two governments.

Germany has pledged support for the Syrian reconstruction process and intends to cooperate with the Damascus government to facilitate the return of those who wish to go back. A dedicated working group will be established to oversee this effort. The scale of the reconstruction is immense. Years of fighting have left cities in ruins and vital infrastructure severely damaged. The World Bank estimates that rebuilding Syria will require over $200 billion in investment.

Political Context and Concerns

The call for Syrian refugees to return to Germany comes after the Saraa-led alliance ousted President Bashar al-Assad from power in December 2024. This political shift has opened the door for renewed diplomatic engagement with the Syrian government, which was previously isolated by many Western nations. However, the situation remains complex. Concerns persist about human rights abuses and the lack of political freedoms in Syria. Merz urged President es-Saraa to create space for all people in the new Syria, regardless of their ethnicity, religion, or gender, and to end violence against minorities and those with differing opinions.

The push for returns also aligns with the demands of conservative and far-right political factions in Germany, who have long advocated for stricter immigration policies and the repatriation of refugees. However, the German government is also facing scrutiny over reports of fraudulent activity related to immigration procedures. Recent investigations have uncovered a network involved in providing false language certificates and citizenship tests, raising questions about the integrity of the asylum system.

the success of any return program will depend on the security situation in Syria, the availability of economic opportunities, and the willingness of the Syrian government to guarantee the rights and safety of returning citizens. Germany’s commitment to providing assistance and facilitating the process will be crucial, but the ultimate decision to return rests with the individuals themselves.

The German government is expected to provide further details on the implementation of the return program in the coming months, including specific criteria for eligibility and the types of support that will be available. The establishment of the dedicated working group will be a key next step in this process. The situation remains fluid, and ongoing monitoring of the political and security developments in Syria will be essential.

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