Title: Hurricane Tammy Weakens, Southwestern Caribbean Disturbance Gains Strength
Date: October 22, 2023
Amidst the Atlantic hurricane season, the National Hurricane Center provides updates on two weather systems brewing in the region. While Hurricane Tammy weakens and moves away from the United States, a disturbance in the southwestern Caribbean shows signs of potential development.
Hurricane Tammy:
As of the 11 a.m. Sunday advisory, Hurricane Tammy was located approximately 60 miles north of Anguilla. It is currently a Category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph. According to the National Hurricane Center, Tammy is projected to exhibit little change in strength over the next few days.
Tammy is moving northwest at a pace of 9 mph, with a turn towards the north expected by Sunday night. By Tuesday, a north-northeast or northeast trajectory is anticipated. Although Tammy is not predicted to make landfall, it has caused dangerous surf and rip currents in the Lesser Antilles region. Thus, caution is advised for residents and visitors in those areas.
Fortunately, no watches or warnings have been issued for Hurricane Tammy at this time. The next full advisory is set to be released at 5 p.m. on Sunday.
Southwestern Caribbean Disturbance:
A disturbance labeled as AL95 is currently situated in the southwestern Caribbean. The National Hurricane Center states that it has a 50% chance of forming into a tropical depression before moving inland over Nicaragua by early Tuesday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is expected over portions of Central America in the coming days.
Compared to the 8 p.m. Saturday advisory, the formation chance through both 48 hours and seven days has increased from 20% to 50%.
Concern for South Florida and the United States:
The good news for South Florida and other parts of the United States is that neither Hurricane Tammy nor the southwestern Caribbean disturbance is expected to have any direct impact. However, it is essential to remain vigilant and stay informed as weather conditions can change rapidly.
As always, residents and visitors in hurricane-prone areas are encouraged to have preparedness plans in place and to follow updates from official sources like the National Hurricane Center.
While Hurricane Tammy weakens and moves away from land, the southwestern Caribbean disturbance presents the potential to develop into a tropical depression. The National Hurricane Center will continue to monitor both systems and provide further updates as they become available.
Stay informed and stay safe.