Baghdad/al-Masala: Iraq is in a state of anticipation and concern regarding the rapid developments in Syria, as the events there cast a shadow on regional security and stability. With the escalation of conflict between government forces and armed factions in Syria,fears are emerging of direct consequences inside Iraq,especially in light of previous experiences that have shown how regional tensions can spread to the borders of the Iraq.
In the midst of this atmosphere,messages of reassurance came from the leaders of Iraq emphasizing the importance of strengthening internal stability and protecting the National Front from any external consequences.
Repeated calls have been issued for warning and preparedness for any emergency, pointing out that Iraq today has the security and societal awareness that qualifies it to deal with any possible crises.
In a related context, the government is working to intensify efforts to secure the border with Syria, with assurances that the situation is under control and that there are firm plans to deal with any escalation that may arise. However, there is still fear among the citizens, who remember the events of the past years and the threats they brought to their security and stability.
The recent statements of the head of the National Coalition of State Forces,Ammar al-Hakim,saw widespread interest in political and popular circles in Iraq,as he emphasized the possible consequences of the events in Syria on the security of Iraq and the region on length. Al-hakim emphasized the importance of maintaining stability and national unity, warning against repeating the experience of 2014, when Iraq was in direct confrontation with terrorist organizations.
“Iraq 2024 is not like Iraq 2014,” says Al-Hakim,referring to the difference in societal awareness and security and political preparedness.
This phrase was widely discussed on social media. One of the tweets on platform X said: “Realistic statements,but is security preparedness enough to avoid new disasters?” In a statement on Facebook,a woman from Basra said: “Just being careful is not enough.
These statements coincide with developments on the ground in Syria, were clashes between government forces and armed factions have increased, raising concerns about the spread of that tension to Iraqi territory.
According to information received from political sources, the Iraqi government is on alert and is working to strengthen security measures on the Syrian border. The government spokesman declared that “what is happening in Syria is complex, and its national security has a direct impact on Iraq.”
Circulating analyzes show that the region is seeing a redrawing of the map of influence, with a change in the characterization of armed groups instead of considering them as terrorists, a change that one researcher described as “an international tactic to deal with the reality new in the Middle East.” These transformations, according to othre sources, may carry risky messages for Iraq, as it is necessary to prepare for any situation that may experience the entry of armed organizations into the country again.
In a hypothetical story that shows what could happen, a citizen of Mosul named Ahmed al-Jubouri spoke of his fear that Iraq would once again become an open place for tension. Ahmed says: “In 2014, our lives were normal before we were caught overnight between ISIS and the security forces. “I don’t want to live this nightmare again.”
He added: “The government must prevent any infiltration or interference by Iraqi factions in Syrian affairs.” We just want stability.”
In the context of the debate, a tweet circulating said: “Being careful is critically important… We don’t want to repeat the chaos.” While others have considered the current events in Syria to be part of an “orchestrated plan to change the balance of influence in the region,” according to an activist blog post.
One military analyst said, “The lessons learned from the past must be clear, and the most critically important thing is the need to strengthen coordination between security forces and update emergency plans in a way that ensures that Iraq protected from any external threat.” He also said that the government needs a unified position, away from regional influences that could hinder the achievement of internal stability.
The current reality requires Iraq to make a clear commitment not to be drawn into any external conflict, and work to fully secure its borders. At the popular level, there are several opinions regarding the possibility of staying away from the effects of the events in Syria.
One statement on Facebook says: “It is better to stay away from the events in syria, but is this possible to achieve while living in a region that is doubled?”
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How is the Iraqi government addressing concerns about potential violence spilling over from Syria?
Interview Transcript: Time.news Editor with Security Expert Dr. Layla Al-Khouri
Time.news Editor: Good morning, Dr. Al-Khouri. Thank you for joining us today to discuss the evolving situation in Syria and its potential impact on Iraq.
Dr. Layla Al-Khouri: Good morning! It’s a pleasure to be here and discuss these important issues.
Editor: Iraq seems to be in a precarious position,especially with the escalating conflict in Syria. What are the primary concerns for Iraq in light of these recent developments?
Dr. Al-Khouri: absolutely,the situation in Syria creates a ripple effect that can significantly impact Iraq. The concerns primarily revolve around the potential spillover of violence and instability. We have ancient precedents, particularly during the rise of ISIS in 2014, which underscores how conflicts in neighboring countries can exacerbate internal security issues in Iraq.
Editor: You mentioned the historical context of 2014. How do you think the Iraqi government and military are preparing to prevent a similar crisis this time?
Dr. Al-Khouri: The government appears to be taking a proactive approach. They are emphasizing the importance of internal stability and reinforcing the National Front against any external threats. This includes bolstering border security with Syria and enhancing coordination among security forces. The leadership is aware that societal awareness plays a crucial role, and there are calls to prepare for any emergency situations.
Editor: Even with these measures in place, there seems to be widespread fear among the citizens of Iraq, who remember previous instability. how meaningful is public sentiment in shaping government policy in this context?
Dr. Al-Khouri: Public sentiment plays a critical role in shaping policy, particularly in security matters.The memories of past conflicts are still fresh, and citizens’ fears can lead to pressure on the government to act decisively. Leaders like Ammar al-Hakim are vocalizing these concerns, highlighting the need for national unity and stability. The government must balance addressing public fears while implementing effective security measures.
Editor: Speaking of political leadership, al-Hakim’s recent statements have received considerable attention. What key points from his message do you believe resonate most with the Iraqi populace?
Dr. Al-Khouri: Al-Hakim’s emphasis on maintaining stability and warning against the repetition of past crises resonates deeply with the populace. his acknowledgment of external influences and the need for national unity is critical. The public is looking for assurance that the government is not only aware of the threats but is also capable of managing them effectively.
Editor: Considering the current dynamics, what do you think Iraq’s next steps should be to navigate this challenging situation?
Dr. Al-Khouri: I believe Iraq needs to focus on three key areas: First, enhancing intelligence and surveillance along the borders to preempt any incursions. Second, promoting dialogue among various political and ethnic groups to foster greater national unity. investing in community resilience programs to strengthen societal awareness and capability to respond to crises, which can help quell fears and build trust in the government’s efforts.
Editor: Those are vital strategies. thank you, Dr. Al-khouri, for sharing your insights today. It’s clear that Iraq is at a critical juncture, and the path forward will require careful navigation.
dr. Al-Khouri: Thank you for having me. It’s essential that we remain engaged and informed as these developments unfold.
