Denver, January 24, 2026 – The New England Patriots are slight 3.5-point favorites as they prepare to face the Denver Broncos in Sunday’s AFC Championship game, a contest that will determine who advances to Super bowl LX.
The Patriots, boasting an notable 8-0 road record, are looking to capitalize on a two-point drop in the betting line against a Broncos team dealing with a key injury.
- The new England Patriots (14-3) are favored by 3.5 points against the Denver Broncos (14-3).
- Denver will be without starting quarterback Bo Nix due to an ankle injury.
- Kickoff is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+.
- A model that has generated over $7,000 in profit for $100 bettors is projecting the total score to be under 42.5 points.
the AFC Championship showdown at Empower Field at Mile High will see the Patriots, fresh off a 28-16 victory over Houston, clash with the Broncos, who edged out Buffalo 33-30 in overtime on Saturday. Denver will have to navigate this crucial game without quarterback Bo Nix, sidelined with an ankle injury.
Patriots Poised to Leverage Maye’s Momentum
New England’s offensive engine is fueled by MVP candidate Drake Maye. Throughout 17 regular-season games, Maye demonstrated extraordinary accuracy, completing 72% of his passes for 4,394 yards and 31 touchdowns, with only eight interceptions and a stellar 113.5 passer rating. He continued his strong performance into the postseason, throwing for four touchdowns against two interceptions. In the win against Houston, Maye connected on 16 of 27 passes for 179 yards and three touchdowns, despite one interception.
Maye’s primary target, Stefon Diggs, has been a consistent threat. Diggs amassed 85 receptions for 1,013 yards and four touchdowns in 17 regular-season games. He consistently created explosive plays, with 17 gains of 20 yards or more, including a long of 34 yards, and accumulated 354 yards after the catch with 51 first-down conversions. He
| england -3.5 | DraftKings Sportsbook |
| Patriots vs. Broncos over/under | 42.5 points |
| Patriots vs. Broncos money line | New england -218,Denver +180 |
| Patriots vs. Broncos picks | See picks at SportsLine |
| Patriots vs. Broncos streaming | paramount+ |
Stefon Diggs and Drake maye of the New England Patriots.
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