Election results alert
The results of the first and second rounds for your locality, as well as political news, directly in your mailbox.
To situate the presidential candidates less than a month before the election, Le Parisien offers you, from Monday to Saturday, a daily poll – called “rolling poll” – carried out by Ipsos-Sopra Steria, with our partner Franceinfo. Here is what to remember from the tenth edition, this Thursday.
Towards a Macron-Le Pen duel? If the French voted this Thursday, they would vote in majority for Emmanuel Macron, who continues to defend his program in the media and collects 29.5% of voting intentions in our poll of the day, with a margin of error of 3 points .
Marine Le Pen would come in second. With 19% of the voting intentions, far ahead of the other outsiders, the RN candidate has progressed by 3.5 points in 5 days, which confirms her second position. On the other hand, it is difficult to identify a trend, because the margin of error of its score is around 2.6 points.
Mélenchon, Zemmour and Pécresse for third place. The Rebellious Candidates, Reconquest! and The Republicans stand neck and neck with respectively 12.5%, 10.5% and 10% of the intentions to vote. Inseparable therefore, because they are within each other’s margin of error (about 2 points).
Mélenchon voters would abstain if such a scenario were to materialize. Among the 12.5% of people polled, sure of their choice, who would vote for Jean-Luc Mélenchon, 56% do not express any intention to vote in the event of a Macron-Le Pen second round, compared to only 23% of voters in Yannick Jadot. 68% of Éric Zemmour supporters would vote for Marine Le Pen.
Towards a strong abstention? If the election took place today, around 65% of French people of voting age would turn out to vote. This figure is not fixed and it could climb by April 10. In 2017, 77.8% of voters voted in the first round.
Methodology: survey conducted online from March 21 to 24, 2022. About 500 people (out of a sample of 1,724 people registered on the electoral lists) were questioned every day via the Internet. The results presented show the accumulation of the interviews carried out over the last three days. This barometer is a day-to-day monitoring of voting intentions and opinion. Quota method. Source: Ipsos-Sopra Steria for Le Parisien-Aujourd’hui en France and Franceinfo.