2023-08-14 04:00:00
Wladimir Putin
According to Kremlin experts, Putin’s goal is for the part of Ukraine not controlled by Russia to become a “failed state”.
(Photo: Tagesspiegel)
Berlin Mr. Krastev, the Russian war of aggression in Ukraine has been going on for more than 17 months. Do you assume that it will continue in the coming winter?
Yes. It is becoming increasingly clear that we are dealing with a long war. In any case, one thing is clear: there will be no substantive peace negotiations before the presidential elections in the USA next year.
You have to explain that.
The US presidential election could change things quite decisively. Donald Trump will run as the Republican nominee. His strategy is that a quick peace deal for Ukraine is the best solution, even if it comes at a high political cost. Therefore, I come to the conclusion: the situation will not change fundamentally before the US presidential election.
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