Ukraine faces the specter of military defeat

by time news

2023-11-20 21:10:53

A Ukrainian soldier in a shelter near the Bakhmut front line on November 17. DIEGO HERRERA CARCEDO/Anadolu via AFP

ANALYSIS – After the failure of the counter-offensive, the West is wondering how to help kyiv in the long term.

What if Ukraine loses the war against Russia? The question is taboo, among the Ukrainians and their Western allies, as it is fraught with implications. But after twenty-one months of war, when the military fronts have been frozen since the failure of the counter-offensive, some are discreetly asking the question. We’re not there yet. But for several weeks, bad news has been piling up about Ukraine, against which all the dark winds of politics and diplomacy have begun to blow.

On the military field, first, where the stagnation did not wait for the return of the autumn mud and the cold of winter to settle in and freeze initiatives. Some had believed to see in the social and political crises which shook the Kremlin during the year a possible collapse of the Russian army in the medium term. This hope has since been banished. “The Europeans underestimated the military capabilities of the Russians,” resume Alyona…

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