In this note we share the weather forecast in Guatemala from October 14 to 18, 2024a period in which an increase in rain is expected, compared to last week, especially towards the weekend. Likewise, this week begins the second fortnight of the month, a period in which the Insivumeh reported could enter the first cold front.
This is the weather forecast in Guatemala from October 14 to 18, 2024
As detailed in the National Institute of Seismology, Volcanology, Meteorology and Hydrology —Insivumeh— in his report on the weather in Guatemala from October 14 to 18, 2024this week begins with the influence of high pressure, so moisture will continue to enter from both coasts.
During the first days of the week, atmospheric pressure will reach its highest point, resulting in relatively stable weather. However, starting Tuesday, a gradual decrease is expected, which will allow the entry of northerly winds, with speeds that will range between 30 and 40 kilometers per hour.
In addition, a low pressure system located in the Caribbean of Nicaragua is being monitored that could affect Guatemala towards the end of the week, especially in the Guatemalan Caribbean region. If it maintains its trajectory, this phenomenon would increase the possibility of rain starting on Thursday and towards the weekend.
Forecast for October 16, 2024
Detail about the rainfall expected this week
Despite the decrease in rain during the previous weekend, in which isolated rainfall was recorded in regions such as Petén, the Northern Transversal Strip and the Southwest, the Insivumeh anticipates a greater possibility of rain for this week, presenting a gradual increase towards the weekend.
Due to the rainfall accumulated in previous weeks, the soils remain saturatedwhich increases the risk of floods, landslides, lahars in the volcanic chain and damage to the country’s road network.
Monitoring of tropical systems
After the passage of hurricanes Milton and Helene, as of Monday, October 14, no tropical cyclone formation has been detected, either in the Atlantic or the Pacific. However, the National Hurricane Center of the Central Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration for Central Pacific Hurricanes ―NOAA― is monitoring an area of low pressure located between the Cape Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles.
This system is generating moderate showers and thunderstorms, although its location in a dry air environment makes its development unlikely over the next two days. As the system moves westward, it could encounter more favorable conditions in warmer waters, increasing the likelihood of development by mid- to late-week. If it consolidates, a tropical depression could form that would affect areas near the Leeward Islands.
First cold front in Guatemala
At the beginning of the month, Insivumeh reported that the first cold front of the year is expected from the second half of October, that is, from October 15. This phenomenon will cause a drop in temperatures and seasonal or isolated rains in some regions of the country.
With the arrival of the cold front, it is important for Guatemalans to take precautions to avoid respiratory illnesses, such as colds and flu, given the sudden change in weather conditions.
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