AFL Analysis: Michael Voss, Carlton’s Evolution and Coaching Trends

by Liam O'Connor Sports Editor

The prevailing narrative around the Carlton Football Club is currently a simple one: the team is struggling, the leads are slipping and the senior coach must go. To the frustrated observer, the solution seems binary. If the results don’t change, the man at the helm must be replaced to trigger a new era.

However, a closer look at the internal machinery of the Blues suggests that Carlton’s coaching change is far more complex than the wins and losses column indicates. While the removal of Michael Voss may appear inevitable given the team’s inability to protect leads and a heavy reliance on stoppage scores, the club is not necessarily worse off because of his presence. In many ways, Voss has been the steady hand during a period of unprecedented structural volatility.

Having covered five Olympics and three World Cups, I have seen this pattern across various sports: the tendency to treat the head coach as the sole variable in a failing system. In reality, the current struggles at Carlton are less about a single personality and more about a profound lack of continuity and a shifting tactical landscape in the modern game.

Not again: Blues coach Michael Voss watches on as his team is again over-run, this time by North Melbourne on Good Friday.Getty Images

The Continuity Gap: A Club in Flux

The most startling statistic regarding the current Carlton squad is the sheer scale of personnel turnover. Only 10 players from the team that played in the final round of the 2025 season were on the field for the Good Friday clash. When compared to other clubs, the lack of synergy becomes glaring.

Stability is often the invisible ingredient of success. While some clubs maintained a core of 16 to 18 players from their previous final games into the new season, Carlton’s number is lower than even the most volatile lists in the league, including Port Adelaide and West Coast.

Player Continuity: 2025 Final Game vs. 2026 Round 4
Club Players Retained in Lineup
Collingwood / Fremantle 18
Sydney / North Melbourne 17
Adelaide / Brisbane 16
Melbourne 15
Richmond 13
Carlton 10

This lack of continuity creates a vulnerability that is exposed in high-pressure moments. On Good Friday, North Melbourne displayed a level of communication and connection that Carlton simply could not match. The synergy of a group that has played together longer often outweighs raw talent, especially in the final quarter when decision-making is governed by instinct and trust.

Structural Overhaul and Tactical Evolution

It is misleading to suggest that the coaching role is the only thing that hasn’t changed. In reality, the football department has undergone a comprehensive restructuring. The club now operates under a new football manager, Chris Davies, a virtually new CEO, Graham Wright, and a second-year president, Robert Priestley. The parting of ways with national recruiting manager Mick Agresta and a dramatic shift in the coaching panel indicates a club attempting to rebuild its entire foundation.

The struggle on the field is partly a symptom of this transition. The modern game has shifted rapidly away from a stoppage-centric approach toward a high-transition style. Carlton remains overly reliant on scores from stoppages and lacks the “fast feet” required to defend those same areas effectively.

The Good Friday collapse illustrated these tactical deficits. The loss of Jacob Weitering to concussion left a void in aerial strength, allowing North Melbourne to take five marks inside 50 in the final term. A lack of poise led to at least eight kicks being smothered as players rushed their disposals in a state of panic—a characteristic of a team feeling the weight of a slipping lead.

Carlton have changed, despite the fact that they keep losing from winning positions. Getty Images

The Human Element: Leadership and Culture

Beyond the tactics, the current AFL landscape highlights the importance of veteran leadership in transitioning lists. Consider Jake Melksham at Melbourne. After a career marked by suspension and ACL injuries, the 34-year-old has become a vital cultural anchor for the Demons. His ability to lead alongside figures like Max Gawn and Jack Steele is a primary reason Melbourne remains a finals contender while transitioning their list under AFL coaching standards.

Carlton is currently attempting to cultivate this same resilience. The development of high-end talent like Jagga Smith—who was playing only his fourth match on Good Friday—is a long-term project. Voss has been described by those close to the club as a selfless coach, putting the organization’s needs above his own during a brutal period of adjustment.

This brings us to the “culture of the spray.” From Alastair Clarkson’s fierce reminders to Colby McKercher, to the half-time demands of Adelaide’s Tex Walker, the AFL remains a league where high-emotion coaching is the norm. While some question if these “sprays” have a genuine impact or are merely theatrical remnants of a bygone era, they underscore the intensity required to break a cycle of failure.

The Path Forward

The challenge for Carlton is no longer just about who holds the whistle, but how the club cashes in on the structural shifts already in place. The environment is now more conducive to high performance than it was when Voss first arrived, but the gap between a professional environment and a winning one is bridged by synergy and tactical adaptability.

the hierarchy may decide that a new coach is required—someone specifically equipped to teach the transition-heavy modern game. But to believe that sacking Voss is the only change required is to ignore the massive, ongoing renovation of the club’s entire footballing soul.

The next critical checkpoint for the Blues will be the upcoming mid-season review, where the board will evaluate whether the current tactical trajectory aligns with the club’s long-term goals.

Do you believe a coaching change is the primary solution for Carlton, or is the lack of continuity the real culprit? Share your thoughts in the comments below.

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