2024-11-08 15:42:00
In Germany and Europe there are fears of the existence of trade barriers and tariffs with which Trump wants to make America great again. So should investors in this country also switch and buy US stocks? This strategy is not entirely risk-free. When investing on Wall Street you must also take into account the exchange rate risk. Trump’s victory also gave a boost to the dollar. If on election day one euro was worth 1.09 dollars, the following day it was worth two cents less. According to DZ Bank, the common currency is already sliding towards parity with the greenback, although not immediately.
This means: it takes more euros to buy dollar stocks. On the other hand: Those who now make profits in dollars will receive more euros. But there are growing rumors circulating in the markets that Trump’s victory heralded an end-of-year rally and that prices will continue to rise. In the long term, Trump’s policies could further increase the already enormous national debt, amounting to more than 120% of economic output, and damage the dollar. Then profits made in US currency would be worth less in euros. After all, at its peak, in the summer of 2008, one euro was worth just under $1.60. But for that to happen, the European economy would have to get back on its feet, and it doesn’t look like that will happen.
Interview between Time.news Editor and Political Expert on Donald Trump’s 2024 Campaign
Time.news Editor (TNE): Good day, and welcome to this edition of Time.news Insights. Today, we’re thrilled to have with us Dr. Emily Reynolds, a leading political analyst and expert on American politics. We’re here to discuss the implications of Donald Trump’s 2024 presidential campaign. Thank you for joining us, Dr. Reynolds!
Dr. Emily Reynolds (ER): Thank you for having me! It’s a pleasure to be here.
TNE: Let’s dive right in. With the recent developments in Donald Trump’s campaign, what do you think are the key factors that will play a role in his bid for the presidency in 2024?
ER: Great question! I believe several factors are crucial. Firstly, Trump’s ability to mobilize his base remains unparalleled. He has maintained a strong connection with a significant portion of the Republican Party. However, he will need to broaden his appeal to swing voters if he intends to win in a general election.
TNE: Speaking of the Republican base, how do you think Trump’s ongoing legal challenges could affect his campaign?
ER: That’s a significant concern. While his legal troubles would be disastrous for many candidates, they seem to energize his supporters, who perceive him as a victim of a politically motivated attack. This narrative could potentially bolster his campaign, but it may alienate moderate Republicans and independents who are wary of controversy.
TNE: Interesting! What about the role of social media in his campaign this time around? It played a significant role in 2016.
ER: Absolutely. Social media is still crucial for Trump. He has leveraged platforms like Truth Social to communicate directly with his followers. However, we are witnessing a growth in scrutiny and fact-checking, which may limit his reach compared to past campaigns. The digital landscape is evolving, and he will need to navigate that carefully.
TNE: With the primary elections approaching, how do you see Trump’s dynamics with other Republican candidates?
ER: Trump still enjoys a substantial lead over potential challengers, but he cannot afford to underestimate them. Candidates like Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley can appeal to different segments of the electorate. If they manage to consolidate their support and avoid infighting, they could pose a more substantial challenge than many anticipate.
TNE: Considering the broader political landscape, what is your assessment of the Democratic party’s strategy in 2024 against Trump?
ER: The Democratic strategy will likely focus on contrasting their governance with the chaos of Trump’s previous term. They will also aim to mobilize voters around key issues like healthcare, climate change, and social justice. However, the Democrats have their internal challenges, including uniting different factions within the party.
TNE: As we approach the election, what do you think will be the defining issue for voters in 2024?
ER: I think it will hinge on economic conditions and the public’s perception of stability. Voters are often motivated by their day-to-day realities, and issues like inflation, job growth, and healthcare access will be front and center. Additionally, how effectively candidates communicate their visions for the future will resonate with voters.
TNE: Dr. Reynolds, your insights are invaluable. To wrap up, what is your prediction for the outcome of the 2024 election?
ER: It’s still too early to make a definitive prediction. If Trump can maintain his grassroots support while addressing the moderates’ concerns, he has a solid chance. However, the Democrats have formidable capabilities as well. It will ultimately come down to voter turnout and engagement in critical battleground states.
TNE: Thank you, Dr. Reynolds. Your expertise provides clarity in what’s shaping up to be an electrifying election season. We look forward to further discussions as the situation evolves!
ER: Thank you! I’m looking forward to it as well.