England x Brazil — who is the favorite? See chances and statistics

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Two of the heaviest shirts in national team football take the field this Saturday. England, world champion in 1966, and Brazil, five-time world champion, face off in an international friendly, at 4pm (Brasília time), at Wembley Stadium, in London, in a match that marks Dorival Júnior’s debut in charge of the Brazilian team.

Although the record is favorable to the Brazilians (there are 11 wins, 11 draws and four defeats), the current moment does not give rise to much optimism against the strong English team. The team arrives at the clash without winning in four games and with three consecutive defeats, while their rivals have not lost since 2022.

See the chances of victory for each side, calculated by the Crystal Ball of GLOBO (tool in partnership with the Federal University of Minas Gerais), in addition to statistics, campaigns and key points of the match.

Chances of England and Brazil in an international friendly — Photo: Editoria de Arte Recent campaigns for England and Brazil — Photo: Editoria de Arte

  • England from the 2022 Cup: 10 games, 8 wins and 2 draws
  • Brazil from the 2022 Cup: 9 games, 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses

Last games between England and Brazil — Photo: Editoria de Arte

  • England’s last 10 games: North Macedonia⏺️, Malta ✅, Italy ✅, Australia ✅, Scotland ✅, Ukraine ⏺️, North Macedonia ✅, Malta ✅, Ukraine ✅, Italy ⏺️. Utilization: 80%
  • Brazil’s last 10 games: Argentina ❌, Colombia ❌, Uruguay ❌, Venezuela ⏺️, Peru ✅, Bolivia ✅, Senegal ❌, Guinea ✅, Morocco ❌, Croatia ⏺️. Utilization: 36.67%

Key points of England and Brazil — Photo: Editoria de Arte

  • England has not lost since being eliminated by France, in the 2022 World Cup. Since then, they have been unbeaten in 10 games, with eight wins and two draws, in addition to 26 goals scored and only five conceded.
  • The Brazilian team will have Dorival Júnior’s debut as coach. Since being eliminated in the 2022 World Cup by Croatia and Tite’s departure, the team has had two interims in charge: Ramon Menezes and Fernando Diniz.
  • Brazil arrives for the clash without winning in four games and with three consecutive defeats
  • The English have not lost at Wembley since 4-0 to Hungary, on June 14, 2022, in a game valid for the group stage of the League of Nations.

Recent retrospective of home fans and visitors from England and Brazil — Photo: Editoria de Arte

England as home team (last 5 games): Malta ✅, Italy ✅, Australia ✅, North Macedonia✅, Ukraine ✅. Utilization: 100%.

General campaign as home team since the 2022 World Cup: 5 games, 5 wins. Utilization: 100%.

Brazil as a visitor (last 5 games): Colombia ❌, Uruguay ❌️, Peru ✅, Morocco ❌, Japan ✅. Utilization: 40%.

General campaign as a visitor since the 2022 World Cup: 4 games, 1 win and 3 losses. Use: 25%.

Important statistics from England and Brazil — Photo: Editoria de Arte

  • Red cards per match: 0.0
  • Yellow cards per match: 1.4
  • Goals scored per match: 2.6
  • Goals conceded per match: 0.5
  • Goals scored per match as home team: 3.0
  • Goals conceded per match as home team: 0.2
  • Red cards per match: 0.11
  • Yellow cards per match: 1.66
  • Goals scored per match: 1.66
  • Goals conceded per match: 1.55
  • Goals scored per match as a visitor: 0.75
  • Goals conceded per match as a visitor: 1.5

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