Fifteen days before the November 5 elections, Kamala Harris y Donald Trump They are engaged in an unprecedented electoral battle. According to an analysis of Integralthe polls reveal a technical tie, reflecting a race that has been close from the beginning.
The Democrat, who turned 60 yesterday, faces the veteran Republican, 78, in an election that will not only define the course of USAbut will also have direct implications for Mexico.
Surveys indicate that the economy is the central issue for voters, followed by migration. The New York magnate focused his campaign on immigration control and economic revitalization, appealing especially to workers in the Rust Belt (manufacturing belt), in states such as Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
These former Democratic strongholds will be decisive in the election. The Democratic candidate, for her part, capitalized on her strength on social issues, such as racial equality and the right to abortion.
One of the most relevant issues for Mexico is the possible renegotiation of the Treaty between Mexico, the United States and Canada (TMEC) in 2026.
He former republican president suggested changes that would affect the business relationship, while the former senator for California could tighten environmental and investment regulations.
Whatever the outcome, the bilateral relationship will face challenges, with migration and security high on the agenda.
The elections, characterized by high polarization, could lead to a post-electoral conflict, especially if Trump question the results.
At the same time, the “October surprises”, unexpected events that can alter the electoral dynamics, continue to be a unpredictable factor.
The race for the White House is at its peak and any strategic move could define the destiny not only of the United States, but also of the global environment and the relationship with Mexico.