According to three polls by News 12, News 13 and Here 11 published the day after the end of Operation Dawn, the Netanyahu camp drops to 59 mandates after last week’s polls indicated an increase to 62 mandates for the Netanyahu supporters camp
Until the ‘Dawn’ operation that began on Friday, last week’s polls indicated a trend of strengthening for Likud and the right-wing bloc and a weakening of the Netanyahu opposition camp. In two of the polls published last week, the Netanyahu camp received 62 mandates without Ayelet Shaked’s party, while in one poll the Netanyahu camp received 63 mandates including the ‘Zionist Spirit’ party which receives four mandates. In other polls, Gush Netanyahu received 61 mandates.
With the end of the operation in Gaza, it seems that the trend has changed and that the Netanyahu camp has weakened, especially the Likud party, which in this week’s polls loses two to three mandates in favor of Yesh Atid. According to the latest polls, the right-wing bloc is down to 59 mandates.
On Monday, the day after the ceasefire came into effect, three polls were conducted by the three leading channels. A News 12 poll conducted by Manu Geva revealed that if the elections had been held today, the right-wing bloc would have won 59 mandates according to the following distribution: Likud 34 mandates, Yesh Atid 24 , Blue and White 12, Religious Zionism 10, Shas 8 mandates, Torah Judaism 7, the Joint List 6, Ra’am 5, the Labor Party 5, Israel Beitenu 5 and Meretz 4 mandates. The Zionist Spirit Party does not exceed the percentage of the block.
In a News 13 survey conducted by Prof. Camille Fox, the Likud wins 34 seats, Yesh Atid 22. The religious Zionist party receives 11 seats, Blue and White-New Hope 11 seats, Shas and Torah Judaism each receive 7 seats. The joint list wins 6 seats, Havoda 5, Yisrael Beitenu 5, Meretz 4, the Zionist Spirit 4 and Ram 4. According to this survey, the Netanyahu camp receives 63 mandates including the Zionist Spirit.
In the Kan 11 survey conducted by Dodi Hasid, the results are that the right-wing bloc led by Netanyahu receives 59 mandates. The data shows that the Likud receives 33 mandates, Yesh Atid 23, Blue and White-The New Hope wins 12 mandates, the religious Zionist party 11, Shas in the 8th and Torah Judaism in the 7th. Yisrael Beitenu receives 6 mandates, the Joint List 6, Havoda 5, Meretz 5 and Ra’am 4. In this poll too, the ‘Zionist Spirit’ party led by Ayelet Shaked does not pass the threshold.
Likud claims that this is a slight fluctuation in the poll map and that in any case three months before the elections is a long time in terms of Israeli politics and nothing can be concluded from this. According to them, if you look at the trend of the last year, the Likud is constantly on the trend of getting stronger and that immediately after the end of the primaries, the Likud launched a campaign that would strengthen the party’s position and position it as the largest party and the next ruling party.