In the days following the 2024 presidential election in USA, sources close to the government Nicolas Maduro revealed that they are holding conversations with members of the transition team of Donald Trump. These dialogues, which occurred in private, explore possible paths to Venezuelaparticularly in matters migratory y economic.
According to the sources cited byThe Washington Post, the Venezuelan autocrat is willing to work with Trump, by signaling his interest in an agreement focused on authorizing deportation flights for Venezuelans. However, the Chavista also made it clear that, in return, he requires measures that help improve his country’s economy, such as an increase in exports of oil.
Despite this opening, the position of the Republican and his team seems firm regarding the conditions for any agreement. Sources close to the transition team, cited by the American media, were categorical in stating that Maduro must “come out of power” through a democratic transition, a position that distances itself from the Maduro offers.
The Biden administration tried unsuccessfully to negotiate a democratic transition in Venezuela over the past year, but the efforts failed after a widely criticized presidential election in July. Maduro declared himself the winner without allowing transparent scrutiny, while independent observers pointed out multiple irregularities. After the electoral fraud, The US imposed some sanctions, but allowed Chevron to continue its operations in the country, which was criticized by opponents.
In the midst of this scenario, several countries, including Italy and Argentina, recognized González Urrutia as the “elected president” of Venezuela, aligning themselves with the opposition in their demand for democratic change. The US government also took a step in this directionby recognizing the diplomat as the legitimate leader of the South American nation.
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How might the outcome of these discussions impact the Venezuelan population?
Interview between Time.news Editor (E) and Dr. Laura Mendoza, Expert on Latin American Politics (L)
E: Welcome, Dr. Mendoza! Thank you for joining us today. The recent reports on Nicolás Maduro‘s conversations with Donald Trump’s transition team are intriguing. What does this signal about the current political climate in Venezuela?
L: Thank you for having me! The fact that Maduro’s team is reaching out to Trump’s transition team indicates a dramatic shift in diplomatic strategies. It underscores the desperation of the Maduro regime as they seek allies amidst a struggling economy. By engaging in these discussions, Maduro aims to signal that he is open for negotiations, particularly on vital issues like migration and economic aid.
E: That’s a fascinating perspective. Could you elaborate on what Maduro seeks from the Trump administration?
L: Certainly. The conversations reportedly focus on a potential agreement regarding the deportation of Venezuelans living in the U.S. Maduro is signaling his willingness to cooperate on this front, possibly to alleviate pressure on his government from the growing number of Venezuelan migrants. However, he’s not doing this out of altruism; he’s also requesting concessions that would benefit the Venezuelan economy, such as increased oil exports.
E: It seems that Maduro is trying to leverage migration for economic gain. How likely is it that Trump would consider such a deal?
L: Trump has historically aimed to reduce undocumented immigration, so the idea of structured deportation flights could align with his administration’s priorities. Moreover, the prospect of aiding Venezuela’s oil exports might appeal to Trump, especially given the significance of energy resources in U.S. foreign policy. However, any agreement would likely be contingent upon broader negotiations that also address U.S. strategic interests in the region.
E: What implications could these discussions have for U.S.-Venezuela relations moving forward?
L: If these talks progress, we could see a shift in the U.S.’s hardline approach towards Venezuela. This could create a temporary thaw in relations, particularly if the Trump administration views this as an opportunity to showcase tangible results in both migration control and energy deals. However, it’s crucial to remember that such diplomatic engagements are often fraught with challenges, particularly given the historical distrust between the two nations.
E: With the Venezuelan economy in such disarray, what kind of reforms do you think Maduro is likely to propose in exchange for U.S. support?
L: Maduro is likely to request measures aimed at stabilizing the economy, which has been in freefall for years. This may include lifting sanctions, increasing oil export quotas, and perhaps even financial aid. However, any promises on his part would require skepticism, as Maduro’s administration has a history of failing to deliver on commitments.
E: In your opinion, how should the international community respond to these developments?
L: The international community should closely monitor these negotiations and remain cautious. It’s essential to encourage dialog while also holding Maduro accountable for human rights abuses and democratic violations. Supporting the Venezuelan people in their quest for freedom and aid should remain a priority, even as diplomatic talks proceed.
E: Thank you so much for your insights, Dr. Mendoza. It’s clear that this is a complex situation with potentially significant ramifications for both Venezuela and U.S. foreign policy.
L: Thank you! It was a pleasure discussing these important developments with you.