Monsoon Rainfall & Storms: 300mm Forecast

by Mark Thompson

Summary of Queensland Flood Risk – february 2024

This article details a significant flood risk across Queensland due to a strengthening monsoon trough and associated low-pressure system. Here’s a breakdown of the key information:

Key Risks & Impacts:

* Extreme Rainfall: Queensland is bracing for torrential rainfall, potentially reaching up to 700mm in some western areas by Wednesday, with totals exceeding that possible. Initial forecasts predict up to 260mm between Cairns and Townsville starting tonight.
* Widespread Flooding: Flood warnings are already in place for multiple river catchments (Nicholson, Leichhardt, Norman, Gilbert, Diamantin) and broader flood watches cover much of the state. The Gregory River is currently at major flood levels.
* Isolation & Disruption: Outback and remote communities are notably vulnerable to road closures, community isolation, and disruption of essential services. this isolation could be prolonged.
* Agricultural Impact: Prolonged exposure to low temperatures and floodwaters poses a threat to cattle and livestock.
* Flash Flooding: Risk of flash flooding is high in areas between Cairns and Townsville, and in the Gulf Country, Northern Goldfields, and Upper Flinders, North West, and Central West Forecast Districts.
* Strong Winds: Winds are picking up along the northeast tropical coast, adding to potential damage.

Current Situation (as of reporting time):

* Cardwell Gap recorded 217mm of rainfall in the last 24 hours – the highest in Australia.
* The low-pressure system within the monsoon trough is intensifying and tracking southeastward.
* Conditions are expected to persist for an extended period.

Source: The information is based on forecasts from the Bureau of Meteorology and commentary from Senior Meteorologist Jonathan How.

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