“If you believe that the US and Russia will never cross the line, you are mistaken.”
“The United States must take our nuclear warning seriously.”
Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council Dmitry Medvedev, a close associate of Russian President Vladimir Putin, warned that continued involvement of the United States in the war in Ukraine could lead to World War III.
In particular, the so-called ‘red line’ mentioned Ukraine’s accession to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and allowing the use of long-range weapons to strike deep into Russia.
According to Sky News and Newsweek on the 2nd (local time), Vice Chairman Medvedev said in an interview with Russian state-run RT that day, “It is wrong for the United States to believe that Russia will never cross a certain line.”
Vice Chairman Medevedev emphasized that allowing Ukraine to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is like choosing a world war.
Referring to former U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, who passed away at the age of 100 in November last year, he said, “Just before he died, Kissinger seemed to have some regret and said, ‘Now we have no choice but to get Ukraine into NATO. “I suggested it,” he said.
He continued, “I think Kissinger made a mistake in this area,” and added, “There was no such prior decision. “Because it’s still pretty clear what to choose between a promise and the possibility of starting World War III.”
Vice Chairman Medevedev mentioned the recent push for changes to the country’s nuclear doctrine on the grounds that such threats could become reality.
Russia is seeking to significantly relax its standards for using nuclear weapons after Ukraine asked the West to allow it to use long-range weapons to strike deep inside Russia.
The nuclear doctrine revision bill being promoted by Russia aims to lower the threshold for the use of nuclear weapons by opening up targets for attack even to countries that do not possess nuclear weapons. Another feature is the expansion of the Russian nuclear umbrella to ally Belarus.
Vice Chairman Medvedev emphasized that Russia’s nuclear warning must be taken seriously to avoid World War III.
Meanwhile, to date, Western countries, including the United States, have provided long-range weapons to Ukraine, but have limited their use to within the Ukrainian border or certain areas along the border. They are maintaining a cautious stance, wary of the response and escalation of war from Russia, which possesses nuclear weapons.
[서울=뉴시스]
Hot news now
Interview Between Time.news Editor and Dmitry Medvedev Expert on Nuclear Deterrence
Time.news Editor (TNE): Welcome to Time.news, where we navigate the intricate currents of global politics. Today, we’re joined by Dr. Elena Vasiliev, a renowned expert in international relations and nuclear policy. Dr. Vasiliev, thank you for being here.
Dr. Elena Vasiliev (EV): Thank you for inviting me.
TNE: Recently, Dmitry Medvedev, Russia’s Deputy Chairman of the Security Council, issued a stark warning regarding U.S. involvement in the Ukraine crisis. He suggested that allowing Ukraine to join NATO could lead to World War III. What are your thoughts on his statement?
EV: Medvedev’s comments reflect a deep-seated anxiety in Russia regarding NATO’s expansion. He is framing this situation as a critical juncture that could escalate into a significant conflict. It’s important to understand that he’s not just speaking for himself but echoing the sentiment of Russian leadership. For them, NATO expansion is perceived as an existential threat.
TNE: Medvedev also mentioned that there’s a miscalculation on the part of the U.S., stating, “It is wrong for the United States to believe that Russia will never cross a certain line.” How does this align with historical precedents of nuclear deterrence?
EV: Historically, the concept of nuclear deterrence is built on the principle of mutually assured destruction. Each side is aware of the catastrophic consequences of crossing certain thresholds. However, Medvedev’s statements are indicating a shift in the Russian nuclear doctrine, lowering the bar for what they deem acceptable. This is alarming because it reflects a willingness to escalate, which could undermine the very foundation of nuclear stability.
TNE: He also invoked Henry Kissinger, suggesting a certain regret in U.S. foreign policy choices, particularly regarding NATO. Can you expand on the implications of this perspective?
EV: Kissinger’s insights carry weight, especially given his extensive experience in diplomacy. His reflection highlights the complexity of geopolitical decisions. By bringing up Kissinger, Medvedev is not only reinforcing his argument but trying to press the West to reconsider its approach toward Ukraine and NATO. It signifies that he believes a more cautious stance is necessary to avoid irreversible consequences.
TNE: You mentioned Russia’s efforts to revise its nuclear doctrine. What would that entail, and how might it affect global security?
EV: The proposed revision to Russia’s nuclear doctrine aims to make it easier for the country to use nuclear weapons in response to conventional threats. This includes targeting non-nuclear states. If these changes are implemented, it can fundamentally alter the calculus of military engagement worldwide and increase the potential for misunderstandings. Countries might feel compelled to alter their military strategies as a result, leading to an arms race and heightened tensions.
TNE: Medvedev’s statements emphasize the need for the U.S. to take Russia’s warnings seriously. In your view, what steps should the international community take to de-escalate this situation?
EV: The international community must prioritize diplomatic channels and back-channel communications to reduce misunderstandings. There should be renewed arms control negotiations to ensure transparency around nuclear arsenals. Additionally, the West could explore compensatory measures to reassure Russia of its security concerns while stabilizing Ukraine’s sovereignty, creating a more balanced framework to foster peace.
TNE: In light of these tensions, how do you assess the future of U.S.-Russia relations?
EV: U.S.-Russia relations are at one of their lowest points since the Cold War. Unless both sides engage in constructive dialogue, the trajectory looks bleak, especially with Russia’s aggressive posture. Both powers need to recognize the dire consequences of escalating rhetoric and actions. Only through a recommitment to diplomacy can we hope to avert a larger conflict.
TNE: Thank you, Dr. Vasiliev, for your valuable insights into this complex issue. It’s clear that the stakes are incredibly high, and today’s discussion highlights the critical need for careful navigation in international relations.
EV: Thank you for having me. It’s crucial that we continue to discuss these issues openly and honestly.
TNE: And thank you to our readers for joining us as we seek to understand the complexities of global security. Until next time, stay informed.