Exactly one month before the September elections, Merkel’s successor candidate, Armin Laschet, has little polish for voters. Finance Minister Olaf Scholz drags the SPD
FROM OUR CORRESPONDENT
BERLIN – A exactly one month from the September elections, a new twist contributes to making the German electoral campaign even more uncertain and dramatic. For the first time in 15 years, the SPD has surpassed the CDU-CSU in voting intentions and is at least on paper the first party in Germany. According to the Trendbarometer poll of the Forsa Institut, if we voted today, the Social Democrats would in fact obtain 23% of the votes, against 22% of the Christian Democratic Union, the lowest for Angela Merkel’s party. The survey also indicates a slight recovery of the Greens who would earn a point, rising to 18%, while the preferences for the other parties remain unchanged, with the Fdp at 12%, the extreme right of Alternative für Deutschland at 10% and Linke to 6%.
The poll from Forsa confirms the drag effect that his candidate chancellor is having on the SPD, Finance Minister Olaf Scholz, by far in the lead in the personal preferences of the Germans compared to the green Annalena Baerbock and the candidate of the CDU-Csu Armin Laschet. In fact, Scholz is seen as the chancellor’s most worthy successor, the only one able to continue her moderate and centrist course. To relativize the value of the survey, however, is the high number of undecided, over 26%, almost a third of the voters. But this does not mean that the alarm in the CDU has already sounded. The Secretary General of the Union, Paul Ziemiak, called the survey a “wake up call”: “Do we want Germany to continue on the path of success, or do we want a left-wing Republic, in which we do not know where the experiment can lead us?”. And in reality, based on current numbers, the SPD could form several coalitions, including an alliance with the Greens and the Liberals, or even a government with the Greens and Linke. Perhaps even more problematic for the CDU is that, according to the Forsa survey, the majority of respondents no longer believe it is possible that the conservative front has more time to change the dynamics of the campaign, fueling the fear of a government of the left. to retrieve outgoing voters. The central issue is the weakness shown by Laschet, who, in addition to sensational gaffes, has not been able to find themes and tones capable of mobilizing the moderate electorate, nor of profiling himself as the true heir of Merkel’s votes, those who are very likely to mind will decide the outcome of the match.
August 25, 2021 (change August 25, 2021 | 17:00)