2024-10-24 07:22:00
USA 2024, Klaus Davi: “Harris in the lead, but Jews and blacks could make Trump win”
Journalist, author of various investigations into organized crime and author of numerous essays on political communication, Klaus Davi talks to Affaritaliani about the upcoming US elections.
What should we expect on November 5th?
From what we read on specialized sites, Kamala Harris‘ advantage in the decisive states would be confirmed. So on paper Harris appears to have an advantage, and in all likelihood she is. It is true that she ran a poor electoral campaign but she appeared more “new”, with a more institutional and decidedly less self-referential image than Donald Trump.
So he won?
It has been heavily benefited by every conceivable lobby, accumulating money endlessly. From the “Deep State” to members of the US judiciary, from artists to bankers, from unions to digital companies. The anti-Trump spirit has coalesced all these forces and she has been able to take advantage of it.
But is it losing ground?
Certain. He has very ambiguous positions on Israel and on other issues such as weapons, security, immigrants. She did a series of interviews like on Fox News or Oprah Winfrey but was quite adept at dodging the low blows. Despite some statements such as the one about owning a gun that she would not hesitate to use if an intruder entered her home, she has not stumbled enough to be hooked by Trump for now.
Does the legalitarian vote in the US count?
It certainly appeals to a white, middle-class electorate and to women, where Harris has been convincing. Much less among the working class who don’t care about legality if they then live on 6 euros a day.
Are we talking about a turnaround for blacks and Hispanics?
It may be that a certain congenital chauvinism plays tricks on us. But I don’t know to what extent. Even in Italy we are sexist but then Meloni won. Even though Meloni comes from the grassroots, she built her path from the bottom, dismantling clichés and prejudices about women step by step. Harris is a classic hybrid between the upper class, Californian intellectuals and various feudal aristocracies of the USA.
So the game is over?
It will depend a lot on the minorities. I follow the US Jewish press carefully and it could happen that many Jews of democratic faith do not go to vote even though they are registered. The Orthodox component of American Jewry will choose Trump. In Pennsylvania, among the states with the highest percentage of Jews, over 440 thousand, if a number of left-wing Jews did not vote, there could be problems for Kamala.
The influential newspaper The Times of Israel, however, states the opposite, that is, that 71% of American Jewish voters in 7 undecided states are in favor of Kamala Harris.
Certain. Undeniable. But in my opinion the figure is overestimated. Just look at the trends of the last 2 election days: in 2020 Trump obtained 30% of the votes of the Jewish electorate with a sharply rising trend compared to the 2016 election, in which he stopped at 24%. If you then look at a state like Florida, where Trump won in 2020, you notice that the Republicans recorded 41% of the Jewish vote against 58% of the Democrats. (source
The vote of the Muslim cluster also presents surprises…
Yes, in fact Trump surprisingly took the lead on that target, as happened with Hispanics. A poll conducted by Arab News Research and Studies Unit together with YouGov shows that 43% support the tycoon while 41% prefer his rival.
How do you explain it?
The left has spread a false vision according to which those who are integrated immigrants are necessarily in solidarity with illegal immigrants and economic migrants. But it’s yet another fake news. This automatism exists only among the left-wing elites but has no counterpart in reality. When they risked a poll, at the time, Berlusconi came out ahead of everyone.
Was Trump very clear on Israel?
Clean and linear. Without sagging. He showed the attributes.
Could the successes of the IDF and Netanyahu help him?
Of course yes. Biden and Harris were ambivalent and Netanyahu “played” them, as they say in gaming parlance. The victories of the Israeli army could push an uncertain electorate to see the Trump-Netanyahu axis as a more incisive duo for containing Iran.
Is this why Trump attacks Iran?
Yes. Iran is only liked by the left and the subversive Italian elites, but the average American hates Iran and would like it erased from the map.
Will anything change for Meloni?
For our prime minister it is definitely better if Trump wins. The Harris-European elites-Italian left alliance does not bode well.
But left-wing magistrates speak of Italy’s Trumpian tendencies…
Trump was a great president. But Italy doesn’t count for anything anyway, it is a country that has always been considered unreliable and essentially cowardly. Italian diatribes are of no interest to anyone.
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