2024-10-31 15:30:00
The report of Venezuela with the progressive governments of Colombia Yes Brazil seems to be entering an area of unsuspected deterioration before the July 28 elections. The Foreign Minister of Gustavo PietroLuis Gilberto Murillo, reiterated that Bogotá he will not recognize the decision of the National Electoral Council (CNE) to concede Nicola Maduro victory at the polls if the minutes are not presented before January 10, 2025. On that day, the president will have to begin his third consecutive term.
“The position of the National Government remains clear,” Murillo said of the claim Colombia shares with Brazil and other countries. If there is no news before the inauguration”, as the president of Colombia has already expressed it will not give recognition to the results.” Both Petro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva They have unsuccessfully attempted to broker a negotiated solution with the Venezuelan opposition, which claims victory in the elections, to avoid worsening the internal conflict. Both administrations in turn aligned themselves with questions from the Carter Center and the UN Committee of Experts regarding the role played by the CNE and the lack of transparency in the competition.
Informal conversations with the Miraflores Palace have cooled considerably. An example of distancing occurred last week at the BRICS+ summit in Kazan, where Brazil vetoed Venezuela’s entry into the bloc of which it shares leadership with China, Russia, India and South Africa.
The Foreign Ministry called its ambassador in Brasilia for consultations after Maduro himself linked his expert diplomatic service to the connection with the US State Department.
Envida, according to Caracas
“BRICS is an anti-hegemonic bloc, it is a pro-hegemonic bloc multilateralism and Brazil could not rationally support that veto. It’s irrational, it’s hateful. “This veto denies the essence of BRICS and that is why we think, hopefully not, that Itamaraty does not become the Trojan horse of BRICS,” the Venezuelan vice president said on Wednesday. Delcy Rodriguez. The Oil Minister also assured that the opposition of Brazilian diplomacy “only demonstrates a profound envy towards Venezuela, because “They think we can be the competition.”.
In turn, the Foreign Ministry lashed out violently Celsus AmorimLula’s former foreign minister who is currently his advisor on international affairs and who he accused of behaving like him “a messenger of American imperialism”. Amorim, who was sent by the president to Caracas to observe the elections and also met privately with Maduro, did not report a good opinion of what happened in the neighboring country. His public words, the Venezuelan Foreign Ministry claims, have become a “constant aggressionwhich undermines bilateral political and diplomatic relations.
Amorim had recognized days ago the existence of an “inconvenience” in relations between two countries that enjoy greater political harmony. He also expressed hope that the obstacles can be overcome. The condition for moving forward, he underlined before the parliamentary commission that follows foreign policy, is that “things normalize” in Venezuela and “human rights are respected, the elections take place normally” and, furthermore, “the minutes are drawn up”.
Maduro’s anger towards Brazil does not only come from foreign countries. The Attorney General, Tarek William Saab, assured that Lula was “captured” by the CIA. For his part, the president of Parliament, Jorge Rodríguez, claimed that Amorin landed in Caracas as an envoy of Jake Sullivan, White House national security advisor, “to damage the normal conduct of the presidential elections in Venezuela”. Rodríguez, who promoted the severing of relations with Spain, wants to declare Amorim persona non grata.
A favor to Lula
According to Bruno Boghossian, columnist for the Sao Paulo newspaper “Folha”, Maduro “has updated his list of enemies of the regime, lackeys of the White House and operators of a conspiracy against Venezuela” to include none other than Amorim. “The dictator still seems to believe that the pressure will make Lula wake up one day and realize that he is surrounded by clandestine Yankees. At the moment the opposite is happening. The episode aligns the positions of Amorim (who has spoken of breaking the trust in the relationship with Maduro), Itamaraty (who has always defended a less concessional position) and the president (who accepted the veto measure on Venezuela in the BRICS). The regime’s conspiratorial attack is a further gift for Lula”. The opposition has always seen attempts at mediation as an act of complicity towards the Miraflores Palace. For Boghossian, diplomacy now sees “an opportunity for Lula to demonstrate his democratic credentials and reduce the humiliation imposed by the dictator.”
For now, the president of Workers’ Party (PT), Gleisi Hoffmann, came to Amorim’s defense. “I regret this position of the Venezuelan government. Celso Amorim is not an agent of imperialism, he is a comrade of the PT,” he said. The main left-wing party of the region had “welcomed” Maduro’s victory on July 28, but then backtracked. “The PT supports overcoming differences between governments through dialogue and understanding, and we hope that this can be achieved between the two governments soon,” Gleisi Hoffmann said.
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Interviewer: Good afternoon, and welcome to Time.news. We’re delving into the intricate dynamics surrounding the recent tensions between Venezuela and its neighbors, particularly Colombia and Brazil, as we approach the pivotal elections in Venezuela. Joining us today is Dr. Ana Silvia Reyes, a political analyst specializing in Latin American relations. Dr. Reyes, thank you for joining us.
Dr. Reyes: Thank you for having me. It’s a fascinating and troubling situation unfolding in this region.
Interviewer: Absolutely. As we approach the elections on July 28, tensions seem to be escalating, particularly regarding Colombia’s stance on recognizing potential election results. The Colombian Foreign Minister, Luis Gilberto Murillo, has stated that Colombia will not recognize a Maduro victory unless certain conditions are met. How do you interpret this position?
Dr. Reyes: Murillo’s comments reflect a significant shift in Colombia’s foreign policy under President Gustavo Petro, emphasizing a commitment to democratic principles and transparency. It suggests a broader alignment with Brazil and other countries that share concerns over the integrity of the electoral process in Venezuela. This can be seen as an effort to hold the Maduro regime accountable.
Interviewer: It seems there’s a growing disillusionment with the Venezuelan National Electoral Council (CNE). Reports indicate issues with transparency that have drawn scrutiny from entities like the Carter Center and the UN Committee of Experts. What implications do these concerns have for regional stability?
Dr. Reyes: The skepticism about the CNE is crucial, as it not only undermines faith in the electoral process but also heightens the risk of civil unrest in Venezuela. If Maduro is perceived to win through manipulated elections, it could lead to wider protests, potentially destabilizing not just Venezuela but also affecting Colombia and Brazil, which are already dealing with the consequences of Venezuelan migration and economic crises.
Interviewer: Speaking of Venezuela’s international relations, the recent BRICS+ summit saw Brazil veto Venezuela’s membership. How does this decision echo the current state of diplomatic relations in the region?
Dr. Reyes: The veto is a powerful statement from Brazil and illustrates a cooling of relations between Brazil and Venezuela. Historically, BRICS has been viewed as a platform for emerging economies, and Venezuela’s entry could have altered the dynamics within the group. Brazil’s decision indicates a strategic distancing from Maduro, aligning instead with a multilateral approach that prioritizes democratic governance and human rights. This might suggest a realignment in regional politics, with Brazil playing a more assertively critical role.
Interviewer: Notably, there seems to be a narrative of hostility coming from Venezuelan officials, who accuse Brazil of acting out of “envy” and being a ”messenger of American imperialism.” How do you see such rhetoric affecting diplomatic relations going forward?
Dr. Reyes: Such rhetoric is quite telling. It indicates a defensive posture from Maduro’s government, which may feel increasingly isolated. While accusations like these are often used to rally domestic support, they can also further alienate neighboring countries and exacerbate tensions. For Brazil, being labeled in this manner could reinforce their resolve to distance themselves from Venezuela’s current government.
Interviewer: Lastly, with rising tensions and potential unrest, what are the key developments we should be watching for in the lead-up to the elections?
Dr. Reyes: We’re looking for clear indicators of the electoral process starting with the timely release of election results and whether international observers report any irregularities. Additionally, the reactions from Colombia and Brazil post-elections will be critical. If we see increased migration flows or civil unrest, it would signal serious implications for regional stability. How Maduro navigates this will greatly determine the future of Venezuela’s relations with its neighbors.
Interviewer: Thank you, Dr. Reyes, for sharing your insights into this complex situation. As we monitor the developments leading to the election and beyond, it’s clear that regional relations are fluctuating and will influence the trajectory of Latin America in the coming years.
Dr. Reyes: It was a pleasure discussing this with you. Let’s hope for a peaceful resolution and better days ahead for the region.
Interviewer: Thank you for joining us, and thank you to our viewers for tuning in. Stay informed for more updates as this evolving story unfolds.