More than a month after the catastrophic DANA which caused more than 200 deaths in the Valencian Community, the latest polls point to a general decline of the PP at the state level, instantly after the fall of the management of President Carlos Mazón’s party in that community. questioned by neighbors adn authorities. Polls, though, indicate that the main beneficiary of this collapse is Vox, which is growing significantly both in the autonomous community and in the country as a whole.
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This Monday the Prisa group, El Mundo and Prensa Ibérica published polls. In the state investigation conducted by 40dB for El país and cadena Ser, the PP continues to be the driving force with 33.3% of the votes, but Alberto Núñez feijóo’s party records a notable decline compared to the previous month’s poll, losing two points. The PSOE follows as second force with a small increase compared to the November poll, obtaining 29.9% of the votes.
The main rebound and the party that benefits most from the fall of the PP is Vox, which according to 40dB already reaches 13.1% of the votes, almost two points more than in November. However, Sumar continues to decline, reaching 3.1% of the votes. Podemos also fell to 2.8% of the votes and Se Acabó la Fiesta (SALF), the party of the ultra-agitator Alvise Pérez, surpasses Ione belarra’s party by three tenths, reaching 3.1% of the votes.
The survey prepared by the Cabinet of Social Studies and Public Opinion (GESOP) for the group also gives the PP the winner. Iberian print. Alberto Núñez Feijóo’s party would obtain 31.1% of the votes and 135-139 seats (today it has 137), or 2.2 points and between 6 and 7 seats less than three months ago. In this case Vox also rebounds,maintaining third position with 14.7% of the vote and between 45-49 seats (today it has 33).
The PSOE would remain at 28.3% of the votes and 117-121 deputies (it now has 121), 1.3 points and between 11 and 12 deputies more than in September. Despite the recovery of the PSOE, the entire left would lose ground, above all due to the division between Sumar and podemos, which separately would obtain practically half the seats (from 15 to 19) that they obtained together at the polls (31), despite having collected almost the same percentage of votes. Yolanda Díaz’s coalition collapses to its worst record since the elections: 8% of the votes and 13-15 seats, 2.9 points and between 13 and 15 seats less than in September. We could eliminate four tenths of Sumar’s fall and we would obtain 3.5% of the votes and 2-4 deputies.
Mazón’s PP goes from approaching an absolute majority in the polls to sinking and being dependent on Vox after DANA
In this case, Sumar grows, rising to nine seats, three more than a month ago, but still vrey far from last year’s results. And Podemos maintains its result at 5%,but loses a deputy: from five its estimate would now rise to four.
What are the main political challenges faced by the PP in the Valencian Community after DANA?
Time.news Interview: Analyzing the Political Shifts in the Valencian Community post-DANA
Editor: Welcome to Time.news. Today, we’re joined by Dr. Maria López, a political analyst specializing in Spanish regional politics. Thank you for being here, Dr. López.
Dr. López: Thank you for having me. It’s a critical time for political dynamics in the Valencian Community, and I’m eager to discuss it.
Editor: Certainly.We’ve seen significant political shifts following the tragic events caused by the DANA. What are your thoughts on the impact of this disaster on the political landscape, particularly for the PP?
Dr.López: The DANA was a devastating event, and its repercussions are being felt profoundly. The PP, under President Carlos Mazón, has faced intense scrutiny from both residents and local authorities regarding their disaster management. The poll results indicate a clear decline in their support,which can ofen happen when voters associate a party with ineffective crisis response.
Editor: That’s fascinating.You mentioned the rise of Vox as a beneficiary of this political landscape shift. What factors do you believe are contributing to vox’s growth in the Valencian Community and Spain overall?
Dr. López: Vox has traditionally positioned itself as a party that prioritizes strong leadership and decisive action during crises. The PP’s faltering response has likely opened a door for Vox to capture disillusioned voters. Additionally, they are capitalizing on public sentiment around issues of governance and disaster preparedness, which resonate strongly in the wake of such calamities.
Editor: It sounds like Vox is presenting itself as a viable alternative. How do you think this ongoing shift might impact future elections in the region?
Dr.López: Should the current trend continue, we could see a significant reevaluation of party dynamics in the Valencian Community. Vox’s rise might compel the PP to reconsider its strategies and messaging, especially in regions where they have historically been dominant. It may also lead to new coalitions or shifts in alliances,as parties scramble to either regain lost support or fortify alliances with emerging forces.
Editor: That brings up an critically important point about coalition-building. With public trust fractured, could we expect a shift in how political parties collaborate or confront each other heading into future elections?
Dr. López: Absolutely.As parties reassess their platforms and strategies, we might witness new collaborations forming, especially if one party strengthens while another weakens. The overarching theme will likely be about restoring public trust and demonstrating accountability. In crisis situations like this,voters pay close attention to how parties respond,which could substantially influence electoral outcomes.
Editor: It sounds like we’re in for an interesting election cycle. Before we conclude, do you think there’s a message or lesson that the established parties should take from this experience?
Dr. López: Yes, the key takeaway should be the importance of responsiveness and openness. Voters are increasingly looking for parties that not onyl communicate effectively but also act decisively in times of need. If established parties can learn to engage with their constituents more openly and prioritize community needs, they may find a stronger footing despite recent challenges.
editor: Thank you, Dr. López.Your insights are invaluable as we navigate this complex political landscape. We appreciate your time and look forward to your future analyses.
Dr. López: Thank you for having me. It’s been a pleasure,and I’m eager to see how this situation unfolds.