2024-11-07 15:32:00
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None of the women saved Kamala Harris, nor was Donald Trump rejected by the Latino community. Despite having a racist discourse and xenophobic proposals such as the “mass deportation” of Latin American immigrants whom he considers “criminals”, the Hispanic and male vote was one of the favorable surprises for the Republican also in this year’s presidential elections, surpassing his rival, according to the CNN exit poll. The data on the demographic trend of the vote will be known once the counting is complete across the country.
According to the American Network survey, the Hispanic community’s support for the Republican candidate increased from 32% to 45% between 2020 and 2024, and the male vote was the large determinant of this increase. Latino men went from voting 31% more for Hillary Clinton in 2016 and 23% more for Joe Biden in 2020 than Trump, to opting for the Republican this year with 12% more votes than his rival.
“Among Mexican-American, evangelical, non-college-educated, working-class men, there has been a steady movement toward Trump, election after election, largely because they are traditionally conservative on social issues,” the University of Southern professor noted California. .California Roberto Suro at France-Presse.
Instead, Latina women continued to support the Democratic Party, even as their support dropped by half. Clinton led Trump with 44% and Biden with 39%, while Harris trailed only 22%. A significant demographic shift in the Democratic base.
Kamala Harris’ presidency was expected to break the glass ceiling, making her the first Black, Asian-American woman to occupy the White House. None of this happened and it appears to have had no impact on the vote of the African American community, which once again continued to shift towards the Republicans. Harris narrowed the gap with Trump in support among black men to 56% compared to 69% for Clinton and 60% for Biden.
Men between 18 and 44 turn to Trump
As for gender, the trend continues. Men vote more for Trump and women vote more for the Democratic nomination, even though it did not receive the expected wave of female votes. The issue of abortion has not pushed young women to support Harris, although she has supported her pro-abortion position in recent months, already as vice president, after the revocation of this right by the Supreme Court.
However, the female vote for Harris was not enough. Trump, in fact, has gained support among the young and female electorate (between 18 and 45 years old) with 43% against the 37% obtained with Biden, according to AP VoteCast, a poll conducted by the University of Chicago.
Furthermore, the Republican this time also seduced the young male vote, which swung in his favor with 52% compared to Harris’ 46%. This is seven percentage points more than in 2020. The Republican candidate focused part of his campaign on giving interviews on podcasts widely followed by this age group, in which he made comments praising traditional masculinity and dedicated sexist insults against Harris. This could partly explain this turning point.
Women are responsible for the family budget, food prices have increased by more than 30%
Trump has successfully exploited fear of change in the power dynamic between men and women, according to Kelly Dittmar, director of research at the Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers University. “The majority of voters were willing to ignore misogyny and racism, and some were even motivated by it,” he explained to the AP agency.
Economic concerns, related to inflation and immigration, have transcended those related to gender. For Sylvie Laurent, professor at Sciences Po Paris, “women are responsible for the family budget, food prices have increased by more than 30% since 2020 (…) Harris has not been able to respond to this situation” and is not reached this electorate, he told AFP.
It appears that you provided an article or document discussing the voting trends in the recent presidential elections, specifically focusing on the support for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump among various demographics, particularly Hispanic and African American voters.
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