2024-03-25 10:41:47
Author: Elchin Alioglu
Source: Trend
The new situation that began to take shape in Russia after the bloody, barbaric and ominous terrorist act committed in “Crocus City Hall” in Moscow will definitely have an impact on the South Caucasus.
Russia now understands that its military operations in Ukraine will intensify in late spring and early summer. For this reason, official Moscow is interested in ending the processes as soon as possible, and most importantly, in an undoubted favor. At a time when all the efforts and capabilities of the Russian leadership are directed in the direction we are talking about, Moscow’s reaction to any form of anti-Russian statements and actions will, of course, be quick and urgent many times.
In the post-Soviet space, especially when it comes to the countries that declared themselves allies of Russia or are represented in the same structures as Russia within the CIS, Moscow will react with extreme irritation to the activities directed against Russia in those countries.
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan understands the processes taking place: as do his opponents in the country and the leaders of foreign-controlled political groups.
Yesterday’s incident in Yerevan also testifies to these points.
It should be noted that armed persons entered the building of the Nor-Nork district police department in Yerevan. Armenian special forces tried to enter the building. Explosions were heard in the area.
According to Armenian media, members of the “Battle Brotherhood” organization detonated grenades to save their imprisoned comrades.
The attack on the police station in Yerevan was carried out by 3 people, two of them were injured as a result of the explosion.
The special forces of the National Security Service of Armenia raided the police station where there was an armed attack.
It was reported that the person suspected of attacking the building was detained.
Reason? Yesterday, 49 people who illegally entered the villages of Gazakh region under the occupation of Armenia were detained. It was reported that they are members of the “Battle Brotherhood” illegal organization.
All those arrested were later released.
The Ministry of Defense of Armenia is clearly dissatisfied with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s decision to return four non-enclave villages of Azerbaijan to Baku.
Even the “Telegram” channel associated with Defense Minister Suren Papikyan shared openly anti-Pashinyan articles.
Armenians believe that the situation on the contact line with Azerbaijan is deteriorating. There is dissatisfaction in the leadership of the Armenian army, which has already been humiliated by continuous defeats. They consider it a disgrace to leave positions without a fight in one way or another.
In such a situation, the “Combat Brotherhood” (the organization consists of serving military personnel) related to the military circles decided to sabotage the process and sent its members to the occupied Azerbaijani villages.
In response, there were arrests on charges of “illegal possession of weapons and ammunition” – Pashinyan reacted harshly. The proceedings resulted in a radical protest (perhaps at the curators’ insistence) by the remaining members of the Brotherhood of Battle.
When the situation reached its peak, the parties reached an agreement among themselves. The authorities changed the arrows to “Sasna Tsrer” through controlled media (this version has not yet been confirmed).
All imprisoned members of “Battle Brotherhood” have been released.
“It is necessary to move from historical Armenia to real Armenia, otherwise real Armenia will also become history” – the Prime Minister of Armenia said these words while speaking at the meeting of the “Civil Agreement” party in Gyumru.
Pashinyan said: “Currently, a painful transition from historical Armenia to real Armenia is underway. We consider the transition to real Armenia a historical necessity. Of course, this is aimed at ensuring the security, prosperity, economic development and happiness of real Armenia. My assessment is that we we have to go. If we don’t make this choice (that is, if we continue to live with empty dreams, – the author) I am afraid that the real Armenia will become history one day.”
As it can be seen, N. Pashinyan has already given an open warning to the Armenians and emphasizes that the challenges facing Armenia are increasing and becoming more serious.
If Armenia’s increasingly active relations with the West – purchase of weapons and military equipment, statements accusing Russia of treason, unilateral cooling of relations with Moscow, various statesmen, politicians and organizations of the European Union and the United States giving official statements of support to Yerevan, praising Armenians, France openly praising Armenia , its support at all levels – if it was explained by the desire of official Yerevan to apply a multi-vector and multi-directional model in foreign policy, now the conditions have completely changed.
After the terrorist attack in Moscow, Russia’s reaction to such behavior of Armenia will be tougher, emotional and concrete.
Russia will definitely try to take revenge for the terrorist attack and mobilize all its capabilities to achieve the goal. The Kremlin knows that this is the social and political order of society and the will of Russians. The society wants to punish the perpetrators of terrorism as well as those who ordered the shootings, and they want to receive a decent response.
Citizens’ expectations from the government will continue until the social order is fulfilled.
Just as the terrorist attack of September 11, 2001 changed the foreign policy of the United States and, in general, the attitude of Washington to all countries without exception, the infamous terrorist attack in “Crocus City Hall” will change the format of Moscow’s foreign policy, especially the model of geopolitical activity.
Russian authorities are right to feel revenge against the force or forces that ordered the atrocities against civilians in the capital city of Moscow.
Moscow’s revenge will be very heavy, and it is natural, even necessary.
In the current conditions, Moscow will be more sensitive and harsher against the force that wants to deal new blows to Russia’s interests in the post-Soviet space, especially its geopolitical positions.
If the political elites of Armenia do not know this, they are making a very serious mistake.
In the coming months, Moscow will behave angrily – if Pashinyan can understand this, Armenia will insure itself against the consequences of ill-considered steps and the consequences of pro-Western policy, which may become paroxysmal.
Otherwise, Russia’s response to Yerevan will be inappropriately harsh.
Russia, as we said, will be absolutely right.