The Impact of the First Law of the Legal Revolution: State Camp Party Leaps in Mandates, Fear of Civil War and Migration

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State Camp Party Surges in Mandates Following Approval of First Law of Legal Revolution

Following the recent approval of the first law as part of the legal revolution, the State Camp Party has experienced a significant increase in mandates, while the coalition bloc has seen a decline. According to a poll conducted by News 13 and Professor Camille Fox, broadcast on Tuesday evening, Benny Gantz’s party received 30 mandates, surpassing Likud’s 25 mandates. Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid party came in third with 17 seats.

In the survey, Shas received 10 mandates, Torah Judaism received 7 mandates, and Yisrael Beitenu and Ram received 6 mandates each. Religious Zionism, Otzma Yehudit, and Hadash-Ta’al all received 5 mandates. Meretz, which failed to pass the percentage blocking in the elections, received 4 mandates in the survey, while the Labor Party and Balad did not pass the percentage blocking.

A closer look at the blocs reveals that the coalition bloc, led by Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, only received 52 mandates, compared to the previous coalition bloc’s 63 mandates.

An alarming statistic that emerged from the survey is that nearly a third of Israeli citizens are considering leaving the country. 28% of respondents answered positively to the question, while 64% responded negatively and 8% were unsure. Among Likud voters, only 3% expressed a desire to leave, with 96% opposing the idea.

Furthermore, the survey found that 54% of respondents fear that Israel’s security situation would be compromised as a result of the legislation, while 37% were not concerned, and 9% were unsure. Among Likud voters, 12% expressed fear of potential security damage, compared to 77% who were not afraid and 11% who were unsure.

The majority of Israeli citizens also expressed concern about the possibility of a civil war, with 56% answering positively to the question, while 35% responded negatively and 9% were unsure. Among Likud voters, 37% expressed fear, while 56% opposed the notion and 7% were unsure.

When asked whether they believe Prime Minister Netanyahu wants a compromise on the continuation of the legislation, only 33% of respondents answered affirmatively. Meanwhile, 54% expressed disbelief in the Prime Minister, and 13% were unsure. Among Likud voters, 84% expressed faith in Netanyahu, while 5% did not.

In terms of the negotiations between Yair Lapid, Benny Gantz, and the Prime Minister and coalition following the approval of the law to abolish reasonableness, the majority of the public believed a return to negotiations was necessary. 55% of respondents supported a return to negotiations, while 26% opposed the idea and 19% were unsure.

There was a significant discrepancy between Lapid and Gantz voters. Among Yesh Atid voters, only 49% believed negotiations should resume, while 36% were against it. In contrast, 72% of State Camp voters supported a return to negotiations, with only 20% opposing the idea.

The survey, conducted by Professor Camille Fuchs, included 711 respondents, with 611 being from the Jewish population and 100 from the non-Jewish sector. The sampling error is 3.7%.

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