2024-03-27 07:59:49
If there were a European election on Sunday, which party would be the strongest political force from Germany? This was reported by the Ipsos Institute.
Around three months before the European elections, the Union is by far the strongest political force in Germany, according to a survey. According to a survey by the Ipsos institute for the news channel Euronews, 29 percent would currently vote for the CDU and CSU if there were a European election on Sunday (European election 2019: 28.9 percent).
The SPD ends up well behind at 17 percent (2019: 15.8). The AfD (2019: 11) and the Greens (2019: 20.5) share third place with 16 percent each. 7 percent of those surveyed would vote for the Sahra Wagenknecht alliance, which is competing for the first time. The upcoming European elections will take place at the beginning of June.
The FDP (2019: 5.4) and the Left (2019: 5.5) came in behind the other parties in the European election survey with 4 percent each. There is no threshold clause in Germany for this European election. In 2011, the Federal Constitutional Court initially overturned a five percent hurdle, and later also a three percent hurdle. An electoral law reform from 2022 stipulates that a threshold clause will be reintroduced in future elections in large member states such as Germany.
Election surveys are generally subject to uncertainty. Among other things, weakening party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected.
According to the survey institute Ipsos, the statistical error rate for a number of 50 percent is 1.8 percentage points up or down. In principle, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not predictions of the election outcome.